Predictions › Indexes S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 13? Polymarket Closes today 4:00 PM ET · $1.3K traded · prices read 15 min ago
$750 $810
Median $777.31 Middle half $774.88 – $779.67 Above today's price 42%
Median: $776.88 on Oct 13, $777.31 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $783.29 and as low as $771.30 .
Reaches $780 78% Reaches $785 36% Reaches $790 13% Reaches $795 4% Falls to $775 76% Falls to $770 41% Falls to $765 18% Falls to $760 5% Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $789.14 and as low as $763.49 .
Reaches $780 82% Reaches $790 47% Reaches $800 21% Reaches $810 8% Falls to $770 71% Falls to $760 39% Falls to $750 18% Falls to $740 10% Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $780
7,425 8,175
Median 7,785 Middle half 7,758 – 7,815 Above today's price 37%
7,375 8,125
Median 7,805 Middle half 7,576 – 7,967 Above today's price 53%
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,045 and as low as 7,341 .
Reaches 8,000 53% Reaches 8,200 42% Reaches 8,600 8% Reaches 9,000 5% Falls to 7,400 60% Falls to 7,200 26% Falls to 7,000 21% Falls to 6,200 9% Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400
3,800 9,200
Median 7,906 Middle half 7,545 – 8,144 Above today's price 59%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Settles on Pyth price feed
Trading closes Oct 13, 2026 4:00 PM ET
Traded $1.3K traded
Prices read 15 min ago
Followed since Oct 12, 2026
The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket .
Reading the odds Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.
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Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use .