S&P 500 Daily Up/Down (Oct 13, 2026)
43%chance
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S&P price range on Oct 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
The odds
7,807median
S&P 500 now 7,807.24 −0.06% 7,3758,125
Median 7,807Middle half 7,573 – 7,977Above today's price 54%
How the odds have moved
Median: 7,806 on Oct 13, 7,807 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7,399.9999 or below | 3% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | ||
| 7,400 to 7,424.9999 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | ||
| 7,425 to 7,449.9999 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | ||
| 7,450 to 7,474.9999 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | ||
| 7,475 to 7,499.9999 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | ||
| 7,500 to 7,524.9999 | 3% | 5¢ | |||
| 7,525 to 7,549.9999 | 3% | 5¢ | |||
| 7,550 to 7,574.9999 | 5% | 8¢ | |||
| 7,575 to 7,599.9999 | 4% | 6¢ | |||
| 7,600 to 7,624.9999 | 4% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | ||
| 7,625 to 7,649.9999 | 5% | ▼ 2 | 7¢ | ||
| 7,650 to 7,674.9999 | 7% | 10¢ | |||
| 7,800 to 7,824.9999 | 20% | ▲ 6 | 11¢ | 19¢ | 80.00 |
| 7,925 to 7,949.9999 | 6% | 9¢ | |||
| 7,950 to 7,974.9999 | 5% | 7¢ | |||
| 7,975 to 7,999.9999 | 5% | 8¢ | |||
| 8,000 to 8,024.9999 | 5% | 8¢ | |||
| 8,025 to 8,049.9999 | 4% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | ||
| 8,050 to 8,074.9999 | 3% | ▼ 3 | 5¢ | ||
| 8,075 to 8,099.9999 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | ||
| 8,100 or above | 5% | ▼ 20 | 7¢ | 4.00 |
More on this question
All indexes ›What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
8,103high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,103 and as low as 7,341.
- Reaches 8,00059%
- Reaches 8,20042%
- Reaches 8,6008%
- Reaches 9,0005%
- Falls to 7,40060%
- Falls to 7,20026%
- Falls to 7,00021%
- Falls to 6,2009%
Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400
S&P close price end of 2026?
7,906median
3,8009,200
Median 7,906Middle half 7,545 – 8,144Above today's price 59%
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
7,670median
5,5008,500
Median 7,670Middle half 7,107 – 8,154Above today's price 44%
Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
92%chance
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
71%S&P 500
- S&P 50071%
- Bitcoin21%
- Gold8%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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