How high will unemployment get before 2030?

Kalshi Closes Jan 4, 2030 · 17.3K contracts · prices read 14 min ago

The odds

8.57%high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8.57%.

  • Reaches 5%94%
  • Reaches 6%91%
  • Reaches 7%91%
  • Reaches 8%56%
  • Reaches 9%46%
  • Reaches 10%36%
  • Reaches 12%24%
  • Reaches 15%21%

How the odds have moved

Reaches 8%: 56% on Oct 13, 56% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 5% 94% ▲ 1 90¢ 98¢ 1.7K
Above 6% 91% 81¢ 94¢ 757
Above 7% 91% 65¢ 956
Above 8% 56% 51¢ 68¢ 1.8K
Above 9% 46% 42¢ 49¢ 3.3K
Above 10% 36% 36¢ 49¢ 3.3K
Above 12% 24% 24¢ 47¢ 1.6K
Above 15% 21% 16¢ 25¢ 1.1K
Above 17% 14% 11¢ 17¢ 1.5K
Above 20% 4% 12¢ 1.3K

More on this question

All inflation & jobs ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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