Jobs numbers in October 2026?
54Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 54KMiddle half 20K – 102K
Median: 141.8 on Oct 13, 141.8 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 136 million | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | 38.5K | |
| Above 138 million | 95% | 94¢ | 95¢ | 34.7K | |
| Above 140 million | 80% | 79¢ | 80¢ | 34.0K | |
| Above 142 million | 48% | 47¢ | 48¢ | 31.5K | |
| Above 144 million | 13% | 12¢ | 13¢ | 21.0K | |
| Above 146 million | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | 12.5K | |
| Above 148 million | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 24.0K |
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.