Jobs numbers in October 2026?

Kalshi Closes Nov 6 · 123.6K contracts · prices read 3 min ago

The odds

54Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 54KMiddle half 21K – 100K

How the odds have moved

Median: 55K on Oct 13, 54K now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above -25,000 94% ▲ 1 93¢ 94¢ 3.9K
Above 0 88% 86¢ 89¢ 4.4K
Above 10,000 85% 82¢ 88¢ 1.3K
Above 20,000 76% ▲ 1 73¢ 78¢ 11.4K
Above 30,000 69% ▲ 10 58¢ 69¢ 27.3K
Above 40,000 62% ▲ 7 50¢ 68¢ 11.5K
Above 50,000 55% 50¢ 60¢ 18.5K
Above 60,000 43% ▼ 1 45¢ 60¢ 1.7K
Above 70,000 43% ▲ 1 42¢ 55¢ 22.1K
Above 80,000 41% 28¢ 51¢ 14.9K
Above 90,000 36% 34¢ 46¢ 1.6K
Above 100,000 25% ▼ 1 23¢ 27¢ 2.4K
Above 125,000 13% ▼ 1 12¢ 14¢ 2.5K

The same question on Polymarket

Shown side by side, not averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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