Companies removed from the S&P 500 in Q4? (Q4 2026)

Kalshi Closes Dec 31 · 2.3K contracts · prices read 81 min ago

The odds

81%Kenvue

Kenvue81%
AES31%
Norwegian Cruise Line26%
Paramount Skydance23%
Alexandria Real Estate11%
Brown-Forman9%
Hormel Foods9%
Skyworks Solutions9%
Dow9%
LyondellBasell Industries9%
Solventum9%
Hasbro9%

2 more

Deckers Outdoor8%
A. O. Smith8%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Contracts
Kenvue	81%	76¢	85¢	400
AES	31%	26¢	35¢	400
Norwegian Cruise Line	26%	22¢	30¢	600
Paramount Skydance	23%	18¢	27¢	600
Alexandria Real Estate	11%	6¢	15¢	200
Brown-Forman	9%	4¢	13¢
Hormel Foods	9%	4¢	13¢
Skyworks Solutions	9%	4¢	13¢
Dow	9%	4¢	13¢
LyondellBasell Industries	9%	4¢	13¢
Solventum	9%	4¢	13¢
Hasbro	9%	4¢	13¢
Deckers Outdoor	8%	4¢	12¢	100
A. O. Smith	8%	3¢	12¢

Related markets

All indexes ›

Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)

92%chance

^GSPC−0.06%ES=F−0.05%IVV−0.04%SPY−0.06%

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

71%S&P 500

S&P 50071%
Bitcoin21%
Gold8%▼ 1

^GSPC−0.06%ES=F−0.05%IVV−0.04%VOO−0.04%

How high will the S&P get this year? (In 2026)

8,095high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,095.

Reaches 8,00066%
Reaches 8,20032%
Reaches 8,40014%
Reaches 8,6008%

Already reached: 7,800 or above

^GSPC−0.06%ES=F−0.05%IVV−0.04%SPY−0.06%

S&P close price end of 2026?

7,900median

3,8009,200

Median 7,900Middle half 7,528 – 8,141Above today's price 59%

^GSPC−0.06%VOO−0.04%ES=F−0.05%IVV−0.04%

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

8,043high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,043 and as low as 7,341.

Reaches 8,00053%
Reaches 8,20041%
Reaches 8,6009%
Reaches 9,0005%

Falls to 7,40060%
Falls to 7,20026%
Falls to 7,00021%
Falls to 6,2009%

Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400

^GSPC−0.06%SPY−0.06%IVV−0.04%ES=F−0.05%

Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?

31,219median

18,50033,500

Median 31,219Middle half 29,226 – 32,963Above today's price 60%

^NDX−0.71%NQ=F−0.68%QQQ−0.70%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onS&P Global

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded2.3K contracts

Prices read81 min ago

Followed sinceOct 13, 2026

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

What it is about

The AES CorporationAES · about the company14.98+0.27%
Deckers Outdoor CorporationDECK · about the company84.27+1.66%
Dow Inc.DOW · about the company28.12−1.06%
Hormel Foods CorporationHRL · about the company19.30+0.57%
KVUEKVUE · about the company
LYBLYB · about the company
NCLHNCLH · about the company
SOLVSOLV · about the company

Reading the odds

Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

Every prediction market

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.