Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 31, 2026

Kalshi Closes today 8:25 AM ET · 15.6K contracts · prices read 12 min ago

The odds

197,391median
165,000225,000
Median 197,391Middle half 193,300 – 201,556

How the odds have moved

Median: 196,429 on Oct 30, 197,391 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
At least 170,000 98% 95¢
At least 175,000 98% 95¢
At least 180,000 97% 94¢ 99¢ 180
At least 185,000 96% ▲ 1 92¢ 99¢ 18.00
At least 190,000 92% ▲ 2 91¢ 92¢ 1.0K
At least 195,000 67% ▼ 1 65¢ 68¢ 2.8K
At least 200,000 32% ▼ 2 30¢ 34¢ 4.7K
At least 205,000 10% ▼ 1 9¢ 10¢ 3.1K
At least 210,000 4% ▲ 1 1¢ 6¢ 618
At least 215,000 2% 3¢ 3.2K
At least 220,000 1% ▼ 1 1¢

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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