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S&P 500 Daily Up/Down (Oct 13, 2026)
The odds
44%chance
S&P 500 now 7,807.24 −0.06% How the odds have moved
Yes: 40% on Oct 13, 44% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
More on this question
All indexes › 7,807median
7,3758,125
Median 7,807Middle half 7,573 – 7,977Above today's price 54%
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
8,103high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,103 and as low as 7,341.
- Reaches 8,00059%
- Reaches 8,20042%
- Reaches 8,6008%
- Reaches 9,0005%
- Falls to 7,40060%
- Falls to 7,20026%
- Falls to 7,00021%
- Falls to 6,2009%
Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400
S&P close price end of 2026?
7,906median
3,8009,200
Median 7,906Middle half 7,545 – 8,144Above today's price 59%
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
7,670median
5,5008,500
Median 7,670Middle half 7,107 – 8,154Above today's price 44%
Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
92%chance
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
71%S&P 500
- S&P 50071%
- Bitcoin21%
- Gold8%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.