Predictions › Central banks & rates Poland rate decision in December (Dec 2, 2026 meeting) Kalshi Closes Dec 2 · 126 contracts · prices read 24 min ago
Maintain current rate 77% ▼ 6 Hike 1-25bps 15% ▲ 7 Cut 1-25bps 3% ▼ 1 Hike more than 25bps 3% Cut more than 25bps 2% ▼ 1
Maintain current rate: 81% on Nov 1, 77% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
25 bps increase 75% ▼ 2 No Change 14% ▼ 1 50+ bps increase 9% ▲ 2 25 bps decrease 1% 1 more Hike 1-25bps 72% ▲ 1 Maintain current rate 16% ▲ 1 Hike more than 25bps 7% ▲ 1 Cut more than 25bps 3% ▲ 2 1 more Maintain current rate 89% ▲ 2 Hike 1-25bps 6% ▼ 1 Cut 1-25bps 2% Cut more than 25bps 1% 1 more Hike more than 25bps 1% ▼ 1 No change 90% ▲ 1 25 bps increase 8% ▲ 1 25 bps decrease 2% 50+ bps increase 1% 1 more 25 bps increase 60% ▼ 11 No change 27% ▲ 2 50+ bps increase 3% 25 bps decrease 3% ▲ 1 1 more Hike 1-25bps 90% ▲ 7 Maintain current rate 8% ▼ 5 Hike more than 25bps 1% ▼ 1 Cut 1-25bps 1% 1 more Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Settles on Narodowy Bank Polski, Trading Economics
Trading closes Dec 2, 2026 8:59 AM ET
Traded 126 contracts
Prices read 24 min ago
Followed since Oct 30, 2026
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Reading the odds Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
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