Median: 4.24 on Oct 14, 4.45 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.7000 | 90% | ▼ 10 | 70¢ | 23.0K | |
| Above 3.8000 | 90% | ▼ 5 | 65¢ | 92¢ | 34.1K |
| Above 3.9000 | 83% | ▼ 16 | 80¢ | 86¢ | 45.7K |
| Above 4.0000 | 70% | ▼ 20 | 61¢ | 86¢ | 53.7K |
| Above 4.1000 | 70% | ▼ 17 | 70¢ | 84¢ | 41.7K |
| Above 4.2000 | 70% | ▲ 29 | 71¢ | 83¢ | 30.9K |
| Above 4.3000 | 70% | ▲ 43 | 48¢ | 77¢ | 28.1K |
| Above 4.4000 | 70% | ▲ 44 | 49¢ | 79¢ | 25.0K |
| Above 4.5000 | 26% | ▲ 16 | 2¢ | 26¢ | 18.5K |
| Above 4.6000 | 26% | ▼ 7 | 20¢ | 27¢ | 30.9K |
| Above 4.7000 | 26% | ▲ 22 | 15¢ | 32¢ | 21.2K |
| Above 4.8000 | 5% | ▼ 16 | 38¢ | 65.7K | |
| Above 4.9000 | 5% | ▼ 5 | 12¢ | 25¢ | 34.7K |
| Above 5.0000 | 5% | ▼ 6 | 2¢ | 10¢ | 41.2K |
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $106.61 and as low as $98.33.
Already reached: ↑ $100, ↑ $90, ↑ $95, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90
Already reached: ↓ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↓ $4,000, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↓ $4,100
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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