What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?

Polymarket Closes Oct 31 · $216.1K traded · prices read 15 min ago

The odds

$4,327high with an even chance
Gold now 4,208.30 +0.42%

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,327 and as low as $4,075.

  • Reaches $4,30059%
  • Reaches $4,40028%
  • Reaches $4,50010%
  • Reaches $4,6004%
  • Reaches $4,7002%
  • Reaches $4,8001%
  • Reaches $4,9001%
  • Falls to $4,10056%
  • Falls to $4,00031%
  • Falls to $3,9009%
  • Falls to $3,8006%
  • Falls to $3,7002%
  • Falls to $3,6001%

Already reached: ↓ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200

How the odds have moved

Falls to $4,000: 33% on Oct 13, 31% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
✓ ↑ $4,200 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $6.1K
✓ ↑ $4,200 >99% ▲ 28 100¢ 100¢ $7.5K
✓ ↑ $4,200 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $283
✓ ↑ $4,200 >99% ▲ 27 100¢ 100¢ $1.2K
↑ $4,200 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $10.9K
↑ $4,300 59% 57¢ 60¢ $9.5K
↑ $4,400 28% ▼ 1 27¢ 28¢ $11.6K
↑ $4,500 10% ▼ 3 9¢ 10¢ $11.8K
↑ $4,600 4% ▼ 4 3¢ 4¢ $8.4K
↑ $4,700 2% 2¢ 2¢ $14.8K
↑ $4,800 1% 1¢ 1¢ $9.1K
↑ $4,900 1% 1¢ 1¢ $8.2K
↓ $3,600 1% 1¢ 1¢ $9.3K
↓ $3,700 2% ▲ 1 2¢ 2¢ $15.4K
↓ $3,800 6% ▲ 1 5¢ 6¢ $23.4K
↓ $3,900 9% ▲ 1 8¢ 10¢ $24.5K
↓ $4,000 31% 30¢ 31¢ $17.7K
✓ ↓ $4,100 >99% ▲ 20 100¢ 100¢ $18.3K
↓ $4,100 56% ▼ 7 55¢ 58¢ $7.6K
✓ ↓ $4,200 >99% ▲ 35 100¢ 100¢ $591

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