Predictions › Commodities & FX US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Polymarket Closes Oct 31 · $177.9K traded · prices read 3 min ago
Yes: 22% on Oct 13, 23% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
March 31, 2027 14% ▼ 1 December 31 14% ▲ 1 Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $97.71 and as low as $86.06 .
Reaches $95 69% Reaches $100 34% Reaches $105 14% Reaches $110 8% Falls to $90 84% Falls to $85 41% Falls to $80 18% Falls to $75 7% Already reached: ↑ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↑ $90, ↑ $90
Reaches $4,500 50% Reaches $5,000 22% Reaches $6,000 5% Reaches $7,000 3% Falls to $3,500 12% Falls to $3,000 4% Falls to $2,500 3% Reaches $115 33% Reaches $120 26% Reaches $125 18% Reaches $130 15% Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,329 and as low as $4,075 .
Reaches $4,300 59% Reaches $4,400 28% Reaches $4,500 10% Reaches $4,600 4% Falls to $4,100 56% Falls to $4,000 31% Falls to $3,900 10% Falls to $3,800 6% Already reached: ↓ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200
4.20 5.10
Median 4.58 Middle half 4.51 – 4.69
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Trading closes Oct 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET
Traded $177.9K traded
Prices read 3 min ago
Followed since Oct 12, 2026
The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket .
Reading the odds Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
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