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Elkton, VA Weather
Current conditions
Forecast for this hour (no station report in the last two hours)
Forecast
10-day-
Tonight
Patchy fog after 4am. Mostly clear, with a low around 35. North wind 0 to 3 mph.
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Saturday
Patchy fog between 7am and 9am. Sunny, with a high near 60. East wind 0 to 3 mph.
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Saturday Night
Patchy fog after midnight. Clear, with a low around 32. Northeast wind around 1 mph.
National Weather Service forecast updated 21 hrs ago.
Hourly
Hourly forecast- Now38°
- 4 AM37°
- 5 AM36°
- 6 AM36°
- 7 AM35°
- 8 AM35°
- 9 AM41°
- 10 AM46°
- 11 AM51°
- 12 PM54°
- 1 PM57°
- 2 PM58°
- 3 PM59°
- 4 PM60°
- 5 PM59°
- 6 PM56°
- 7 PM51°
- 8 PM45°
- 9 PM42°
- 10 PM41°
- 11 PM40°
- Sun12 AM38°
- 1 AM37°
- 2 AM37°
Daily forecast
Details- FriOct 23Sunny35°62°
- TodayOct 24Patchy Fog then Sunny32°60°
- SunOct 25Patchy Fog then Sunny34°64°
- MonOct 26Sunny42°70°
- TueOct 27Sunny41°68°
- WedOct 28Partly Sunny42°62°
- ThuOct 29Mostly Sunny43°67°
- FriOct 30Cloudy51°74°
- SatOct 31Cloudy51°65°
Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.
Radar
Full mapWeather news near Elkton
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Air quality
Air quality is satisfactory, and air pollution poses little or no risk.
Shenandoah National Park, VA reporting area · 1 hr ago. Data from AirNow (EPA and its state, local and tribal partners); preliminary and subject to change.
Sun & moon
Almanac
MonthlyCharlottesville Area, records since 1893. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).
Nearby
- Harrisonburg 22 km
- Charlottesville 44 km
- Staunton 49 km
- Waynesboro 44 km
- Culpeper 55 km
- Lake Monticello 60 km
- Stuarts Draft 55 km
- Hollymead 36 km
- Fishersville 46 km
- Bridgewater 31 km
- Crozet 38 km
- Woodstock 54 km
Forecasters' discussion
From the National Weather Service office in LWX, issued 1 hr ago
What Has Changed
A Coastal Flood Advisory has been issued for Annapolis. Otherwise, there have been no significant changes to the forecast thinking for the next seven days.
Key Messages
- 1) Frost or freezing temperatures are possible in many areas tonight and Sunday night.
- 2) Dry weather continues through next week along with generally seasonable temperatures.
Discussion
KEY MESSAGE 1...Frost or freezing temperatures are possible in many areas tonight and Sunday night.
With a large area of Canadian high pressure building overhead through the weekend, conditions will likely become favorable for radiational cooling (light to calm winds, mainly clear skies and a cool background airmass). At the moment, it is unclear which night will be the coldest, although tonight (Saturday night) will have a slight advantage given the position of the high overhead.
The growing season for 2026 has ended along and west of the Blue Ridge and Catoctin Mountains, but continues east of there. Any headlines for frost/freeze conditions will only be issued where the growing season remains active.
For tonight, more widespread cold (possible frost/freeze) conditions are possible as high pressure settles more directly overhead. This would bring the frost/freeze threat for most areas outside the major urban centers (downtown DC/Baltimore) and immediate shore of the Chesapeake Bay. If the colder guidance verifies, then the growing season may end for more areas west of I-95 come early Sunday morning. The high will remain overhead through Monday morning, and the low-level airmass doesn't change appreciably, so frost/freeze conditions will be possible again Sunday night.
Did not make appreciable changes to the previous min temperature forecasts, which are near or below the coldest guidance which performs best in radiational cooling (MOS, NBM 10 percentile and Canadian Regional).
KEY MESSAGE 2...Dry weather continues through next week along with generally seasonable temperatures.
Aviation
VFR conditions are expected to prevail through early next week. There are some hints that a slight uptick in low-level moisture could lead to some patchy fog during the early morning hours through the weekend, though confidence in timing and extent of sub-VFR is low at this time. The NAM and related guidance is by far the most aggressive with this outcome, but is an outlier.
E to SE flow is expected today, with light to calm winds again tonight. Wind direction may be a bit variable, ranging from SE to NE as high pressure passes directly overhead Sunday.
P6SM SKC as high pressure dominates early next week. A dry cold front will cross the area late Monday night with winds shifting to N/NW Tuesday.
Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Search index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.