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Bitcoin above ___ on November 2?
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: $79,750 on Oct 27, $77,746 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70,000 | 99% | 99¢ | 99¢ | $3.8K | |
| 72,000 | 98% | ▼ 2 | 97¢ | 98¢ | $7.9K |
| 74,000 | 93% | ▼ 6 | 92¢ | 93¢ | $12.6K |
| 76,000 | 78% | ▼ 18 | 77¢ | 78¢ | $19.7K |
| 78,000 | 46% | ▼ 37 | 45¢ | 47¢ | $9.0K |
| 80,000 | 17% | ▼ 37 | 15¢ | 18¢ | $1.7K |
| 82,000 | 4% | ▼ 18 | 3¢ | 5¢ | $7.5K |
| 84,000 | 2% | ▼ 4 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $5.1K |
| 86,000 | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $6.1K | |
| 88,000 | 1% | ▲ 1 | 0¢ | 1¢ | $3.9K |
| 90,000 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $999 |
More on this question
All crypto ›Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728?
- Up 3-7%22%▲ 11
- Up 0-3%16%▼ 5
- Down 0-3%16%▼ 4
- Down >7%15%▼ 8
2 more
- Up >7%15%▼ 8
- Down 3-7%15%▼ 7
What price will Bitcoin hit October 26-November 1?
- Reaches $82,0007%
- Reaches $84,0002%
- Reaches $86,0001%
- Reaches $88,000<1%
- Falls to $76,00043%
- Falls to $74,00012%
- Falls to $72,0004%
- Falls to $70,0003%
Already reached: ↓ 78,000, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 80,000
What price will ETH/BTC hit October 26-November 1?
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $0.0296.
- Falls to $0.028050%
- Falls to $0.027550%
- Falls to $0.027020%
Already reached: ↓ 0.0285
Bitcoin above ___ on November 1?
Bitcoin above ___ on November 3?
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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