Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $0.0296.
Already reached: ↓ 0.0285
Falls to $0.0275: 50% on Oct 27, 50% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 0.0295 | 51% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 99¢ | |
| ↑ 0.0300 | 48% | ▼ 2 | 45¢ | 50¢ | |
| ↑ 0.0305 | 26% | ▼ 25 | 15¢ | 34¢ | $489 |
| ↑ 0.0315 | 26% | ▼ 23 | 6¢ | 50¢ | $128 |
| ↓ 0.0270 | 20% | ▼ 30 | 4¢ | 36¢ | $120 |
| ↓ 0.0275 | 50% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 95¢ | $40.00 |
| ↓ 0.0280 | 50% | 2¢ | 98¢ | ||
| ✓ ↓ 0.0285 | >99% | ▲ 14 | 29¢ | 100¢ | $110 |
Already reached: ↓ 78,000, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 80,000
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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