Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 973,728?

Polymarket Closes Mon 7:16 AM ET · $1.5K traded · prices read just now

The odds

22%Up 3-7%
Bitcoin now 77,280.11 −3.62%
  • Up 3-7%22%▲ 11
  • Up 0-3%16%▼ 5
  • Down 0-3%16%▼ 4
  • Down >7%15%▼ 8
  • Up >7%15%▼ 8
  • Down 3-7%15%▼ 7

How the odds have moved

Up 3-7%: 17% on Oct 18, 22% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
Up 3-7% 22% ▲ 11 11¢ 100¢ $408
Up 0-3% 16% ▼ 5 80¢ $186
Down 0-3% 16% ▼ 4 78¢ $113
Down >7% 15% ▼ 8 76¢ $185
Up >7% 15% ▼ 8 76¢ $265
Down 3-7% 15% ▼ 7 74¢ $361

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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