Gold price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
$4,192median
$3,728$4,548
Median $4,192Middle half $4,137 – $4,247Above today's price 40%
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What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
The odds
$4,256high with an even chance
Gold now 4,213.00 +0.53% Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,256 and as low as $4,130.
- Reaches $4,25054%
- Reaches $4,30023%
- Reaches $4,3507%
- Reaches $4,4006%
- Reaches $4,4501%
- Reaches $4,5001%
- Falls to $4,15064%
- Falls to $4,10031%
- Falls to $4,05013%
- Falls to $4,0003%
- Falls to $3,9502%
- Falls to $3,9002%
- Falls to $3,8502%
Already reached: ↑ $4,200
How the odds have moved
Falls to $4,100: 35% on Oct 13, 31% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ ↑ $4,200 | >99% | ▲ 25 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1.5K |
| ↑ $4,200 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $2.4K | |
| ↑ $4,250 | 54% | ▼ 2 | 52¢ | 55¢ | $1.6K |
| ↑ $4,300 | 23% | ▼ 4 | 22¢ | 23¢ | $646 |
| ↑ $4,350 | 7% | ▼ 8 | 6¢ | 8¢ | $2.6K |
| ↑ $4,400 | 6% | ▼ 3 | 3¢ | 8¢ | $5.1K |
| ↑ $4,450 | 1% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 1¢ | $216 |
| ↑ $4,500 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $114 | |
| ↓ $3,850 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | |
| ↓ $3,900 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $315 |
| ↓ $3,950 | 2% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $877 |
| ↓ $4,000 | 3% | ▼ 7 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $2.5K |
| ↓ $4,050 | 13% | ▼ 6 | 11¢ | 14¢ | $1.2K |
| ↓ $4,100 | 31% | ▼ 9 | 29¢ | 32¢ | $1.5K |
| ↓ $4,150 | 64% | ▼ 11 | 62¢ | 65¢ | $4.9K |
More on this question
All commodities & fx ›Gold price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
$4,192median
$3,964$4,374
Median $4,192Middle half $4,171 – $4,213Above today's price 25%
Will Newmont (NEM) Q3 total attributable gold production be above __?
88%1,250 koz
- 1,250 koz88%
- 1,200 koz86%
- 1,300 koz50%
- 1,350 koz26%
1 more
- 1,400 koz10%
Gold price on October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
$4,195median
$3,313$4,953
Median $4,195Middle half $4,073 – $4,308Above today's price 45%
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
$4,329high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,329 and as low as $4,075.
- Reaches $4,30059%
- Reaches $4,40028%
- Reaches $4,50010%
- Reaches $4,6004%
- Falls to $4,10056%
- Falls to $4,00031%
- Falls to $3,90010%
- Falls to $3,8006%
Already reached: ↓ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200
Gold price at year end? (On December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST)
$4,314median
$4,200$5,600
Median $4,314Above today's price —
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.