Gold price at year end? (On December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST)

Kalshi Closes Dec 31 · 307.3K contracts · prices read 6 min ago

The odds

$4,200$5,600
Median $4,314

How the odds have moved

Median: $4,310 on Oct 13, $4,314 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
4,300 or above 52% 50¢ 53¢ 58.5K
4,400 or above 41% ▼ 9 40¢ 42¢ 51.2K
4,500 or above 31% ▼ 2 30¢ 32¢ 26.7K
4,600 or above 26% ▼ 4 24¢ 28¢ 25.1K
4,700 or above 15% ▼ 4 14¢ 16¢ 14.7K
4,800 or above 14% ▼ 1 12¢ 16¢ 24.8K
4,900 or above 9% ▼ 6 7¢ 10¢ 21.3K
5,000 or above 8% ▼ 1 5¢ 7¢ 18.2K
5,100 or above 8% ▲ 5 6¢ 13¢ 10.3K
5,200 or above 5% ▲ 2 2¢ 6¢ 8.3K
5,300 or above 5% 5¢ 6¢ 6.7K
5,400 or above 5% ▼ 1 3¢ 7¢ 12.9K
5,500 or above 5% ▲ 1 6¢ 7¢ 28.3K

More on this question

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What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?

$4,324high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,324 and as low as $4,065.

  • Reaches $4,30057%
  • Reaches $4,40026%
  • Reaches $4,5009%
  • Reaches $4,6004%
  • Falls to $4,10061%
  • Falls to $4,00031%
  • Falls to $3,90011%
  • Falls to $3,8005%

Already reached: ↓ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.