Gold price on Oct 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Kalshi Closes today 5:00 PM ET · 6.7K contracts · prices read just now

The odds

$4,189median

Gold now 4,217.10 +0.63%

$3,964$4,374

Median $4,189Middle half $4,168 – $4,211Above today's price 19%

How the odds have moved

Median: $4,186 on Oct 13, $4,189 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Contracts
Above $3974	100%		99¢
Above $3984	100%		99¢
Above $3994	100%		99¢
Above $4004	100%		99¢
Above $4014	100%		99¢
Above $4024	100%		99¢
Above $4034	100%		99¢
Above $4044	100%		99¢
Above $4054	100%		99¢
Above $4064	100%		99¢
Above $4074	100%		99¢		5.00
Above $4084	100%		99¢		50.00
Above $4094	100%		99¢		50.00
Above $4104	99%		98¢		1.5K
Above $4114	99%		98¢	99¢
Above $4124	98%		97¢	99¢	50.00
Above $4134	96%		95¢	97¢	250
Above $4144	92%		91¢	93¢	186
Above $4154	87%		85¢	89¢	830
Above $4164	79%		77¢	81¢	564
Above $4174	68%		67¢	69¢	502
Above $4184	56%		55¢	58¢	633
Above $4194	44%		42¢	45¢	774
Above $4204	32%		31¢	33¢	613
Above $4214	22%		21¢	22¢	377
Above $4224	13%		11¢	14¢	62.00
Above $4234	7%		6¢	8¢	20.00
Above $4244	5%		4¢	5¢	149
Above $4254	3%		2¢	3¢
Above $4264	2%		1¢	2¢
Above $4274	1%			2¢
Above $4284	1%			1¢
Above $4294	1%			1¢
Above $4304	1%			1¢
Above $4314	1%			1¢
Above $4324	1%			1¢
Above $4334	1%			1¢
Above $4344	1%			1¢
Above $4354	1%			1¢
Above $4364	1%			1¢

More on this question

All commodities & fx ›

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?

$4,254high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,254 and as low as $4,125.

Reaches $4,25052%
Reaches $4,30024%
Reaches $4,3507%
Reaches $4,4005%

Falls to $4,15067%
Falls to $4,10033%
Falls to $4,05013%
Falls to $4,0003%

Already reached: ↑ $4,200

GC=F+0.63%IAU−0.67%GLD−0.63%

Gold price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

$4,189median

$3,728$4,548

Median $4,189Middle half $4,134 – $4,245Above today's price 36%

GC=F+0.63%IAU−0.67%GLD−0.63%

Will Newmont (NEM) Q3 total attributable gold production be above __?

85%1,250 koz

1,250 koz85%
1,200 koz84%
1,300 koz50%
1,350 koz14%

1 more

1,400 koz9%

GC=F+0.63%GLD−0.63%IAU−0.67%

Gold price on October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

$4,195median

$3,313$4,953

Median $4,195Middle half $4,070 – $4,310Above today's price 45%

GC=F+0.63%IAU−0.67%GLD−0.63%

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?

$4,331high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,331 and as low as $4,075.

Reaches $4,30060%
Reaches $4,40028%
Reaches $4,50010%
Reaches $4,6004%

Falls to $4,10056%
Falls to $4,00031%
Falls to $3,90010%
Falls to $3,8006%

Already reached: ↓ $4,200, ↓ $4,100, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200, ↑ $4,200

GC=F+0.63%IAU−0.67%GLD−0.63%

Gold price at year end? (On December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST)

$4,314median

$4,200$5,600

Median $4,314

GC=F+0.63%GLD−0.63%IAU−0.67%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onPyth - Gold

Trading closesOct 13, 2026 5:00 PM ET

Traded6.7K contracts

Prices readjust now

Followed sinceOct 12, 2026

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

What it is about

GoldGC=F · settles on its price4,217.10+0.63%
GLDGLD · tracks it382.15−0.63%
iShares Gold Trust SharesIAU · tracks it78.34−0.67%

Reading the odds

Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.

Every prediction market

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.