10Y US Treasury yield on Nov 5, 2026?

Kalshi Closed, awaiting its result Closed today 3:30 PM ET · 5.7K contracts

The last odds before it closed

4.84%median
4.78%5.1%
Median 4.84%Middle half 4.83% – 4.85%

How the odds have moved

Median: 4.85% on Nov 5, 4.84% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
4.81% or above 96% 92¢ 437
4.83% or above 86% 79¢ 94¢ 663
4.85% or above 53% 17¢ 65¢ 855
4.87% or above 5% 12¢ 456
4.89% or above 2% 3¢ 1.5K
4.91% or above 1% 2¢ 804
4.93% or above 1% 1¢ 406
4.95% or above 1% 1¢ 500
4.97% or above 1% 1¢ 10.00
4.99% or above 1% 1¢
5.01% or above 1% 1¢
5.03% or above 1% 1¢
5.05% or above 1% 1¢
5.07% or above 1% 1¢
5.09% or above 1% 1¢

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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