10Y US Treasury yield on Nov 6, 2026?

Kalshi Closes Fri 3:30 PM ET · 5.3K contracts · prices read 9 min ago

The odds

4.85%median
10Y Yield now 4.837 −1.16%
4.63%5.15%
Median 4.85%Middle half 4.75% – 4.9%Above today's price 56%

How the odds have moved

Median: 4.98% on Nov 1, 4.85% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
4.66% or above 96% 93¢ 99¢
4.68% or above 95% 91¢ 99¢
4.86% or above 53% ▼ 32 51¢ 54¢ 811
4.88% or above 36% ▼ 48 19¢ 38¢ 496
4.9% or above 36% 9¢ 26¢ 348
4.92% or above 7% ▼ 31 5¢ 21¢ 253
4.96% or above 3% 1¢ 14¢ 352
4.98% or above 3% ▼ 9 7¢ 714
5% or above 3% ▼ 5 5¢ 735
5.02% or above 2% ▼ 5 3¢ 536
5.04% or above 2% ▼ 4 3¢ 200
5.06% or above 1% ▼ 3 2¢ 100
5.08% or above 1% ▼ 4 1¢ 472
5.1% or above 1% ▼ 4 2¢ 200
5.12% or above 1% ▼ 4 1¢ 100
5.14% or above 1% ▼ 3 1¢ 1.00

More on this question

All central banks & rates ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use. How to use Finance