How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?

Kalshi Closes Nov 30 · 6.7K contracts · prices read 10 min ago

The odds

4.76%median
10Y Yield now 4.859 +0.45%
4.65%4.85%
Median 4.76%

How the odds have moved

Median: 4.81% on Nov 2, 4.76% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
4.65% or below 78% ▲ 10 73¢ 82¢ 129
4.66% or below 75% ▲ 10 70¢ 80¢ 141
4.67% or below 73% ▲ 11 68¢ 78¢
4.68% or below 70% ▲ 10 65¢ 75¢
4.69% or below 68% ▲ 12 63¢ 73¢ 191
4.7% or below 65% ▲ 14 60¢ 70¢ 100
4.71% or below 62% ▲ 12 57¢ 67¢
4.72% or below 59% ▲ 10 54¢ 63¢ 119
4.73% or below 56% ▲ 10 51¢ 61¢
4.74% or below 54% ▲ 11 49¢ 59¢
4.75% or below 51% ▲ 11 46¢ 56¢ 300
4.76% or below 48% ▲ 11 43¢ 53¢ 100
4.77% or below 45% ▲ 10 40¢ 50¢ 191
4.78% or below 42% ▲ 7 37¢ 47¢ 120
4.79% or below 39% ▲ 6 34¢ 44¢ 905
4.8% or below 38% ▲ 10 33¢ 42¢ 500
4.81% or below 33% ▲ 8 28¢ 38¢ 555
4.82% or below 31% ▲ 8 26¢ 35¢ 400
4.83% or below 28% ▲ 11 23¢ 32¢ 955
✓ 4.84% or below 3% ▼ 25 200
✓ 4.85% or below 3% ▼ 21 200
✓ 4.86% or below 4% ▼ 18 500
✓ 4.87% or below 2% ▼ 18 239
✓ 4.88% or below 1% ▼ 18 701
✓ 4.89% or below 1% ▼ 13 1.00
✓ 4.9% or below —
✓ 4.91% or below —
✓ 4.92% or below —
✓ 4.93% or below —
✓ 4.94% or below 9% 2.00
✓ 4.95% or below —
✓ 4.96% or below —
✓ 4.97% or below —
✓ 4.98% or below —
✓ 4.99% or below —
✓ 5% or below —
✓ 5.01% or below —
✓ 5.02% or below —
✓ 5.03% or below 2% 119
✓ 5.04% or below —

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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