Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026
68,083median
36,00076,000
Median 68,083Middle half 60,667 – 72,609
Install
Rivian vehicles delivered in Q1 2027
The odds
27,577median
13,00037,000
Median 27,577Middle half 24,250 – 31,000
How the odds have moved
Median: 27,577 on Oct 13, 27,577 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 15000 | 98% | 94¢ | 200 | ||
| Above 17000 | 98% | 96¢ | 400 | ||
| Above 19000 | 95% | ▼ 1 | 91¢ | 99¢ | 1.4K |
| Above 21000 | 92% | ▼ 1 | 88¢ | 95¢ | 400 |
| Above 23000 | 83% | ▼ 1 | 78¢ | 87¢ | 190 |
| Above 25000 | 71% | ▼ 1 | 66¢ | 75¢ | 1.8K |
| Above 27000 | 57% | ▼ 1 | 53¢ | 62¢ | 1.3K |
| Above 29000 | 32% | ▼ 1 | 27¢ | 36¢ | 1.2K |
| Above 31000 | 25% | ▼ 1 | 21¢ | 29¢ | 429 |
| Above 33000 | 14% | ▼ 1 | 9¢ | 18¢ | |
| Above 35000 | 10% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 14¢ | 230 |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%Rivian
- Workhorse17%▲ 2
- Beyond Meat9%
- Xerox6%
- Rivian3%
11 more
- Perplexity AI5%
- Lucid5%▼ 1
- JetBlue Airways4%
- SoundHound AI3%
- MicroStrategy3%
- Lovable3%
- C3.ai3%
- Carvana2%
- Anthropic2%
- OpenAI1%
- JC Penney<1%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
76%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA76%▼ 8
- Apple21%▲ 8
- Alphabet2%
- Microsoft<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.42Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.
- Reaches $1.5T93%
- Reaches $1.75T82%
- Reaches $2T69%
- Reaches $2.5T47%
- Falls to $800B3%
- Falls to $700B3%
- Falls to $600B2%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 30, 2026even chance by
- October 15, 2026<1%
- October 31, 2026<1%
- November 15, 20266%▲ 2
- November 30, 202653%▼ 2
2 more
- December 15, 202665%▲ 3
- December 31, 202670%▼ 3
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
22%December 31, 2029
- December 31, 202710%
- December 31, 202819%
- December 31, 202922%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.