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Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026
The odds
68,083median
36,00076,000
Median 68,083Middle half 60,667 – 72,609
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 38000 | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | 161 | |
| Above 40000 | 94% | ▲ 1 | 92¢ | 96¢ | 9.3K |
| Above 42000 | 92% | ▲ 1 | 89¢ | 95¢ | 6.7K |
| Above 44000 | 91% | ▲ 1 | 87¢ | 93¢ | 7.0K |
| Above 46000 | 91% | ▲ 1 | 90¢ | 93¢ | 15.1K |
| Above 48000 | 88% | ▲ 1 | 84¢ | 91¢ | 12.2K |
| Above 50000 | 86% | ▼ 3 | 83¢ | 89¢ | 9.6K |
| Above 52000 | 84% | ▼ 2 | 82¢ | 86¢ | 14.0K |
| Above 54000 | 82% | ▲ 1 | 77¢ | 86¢ | 411 |
| Above 56000 | 81% | ▲ 1 | 76¢ | 85¢ | 504 |
| Above 58000 | 79% | 74¢ | 83¢ | ||
| Above 60000 | 77% | ▲ 1 | 72¢ | 81¢ | 1.2K |
| Above 62000 | 72% | ▲ 1 | 68¢ | 76¢ | 521 |
| Above 64000 | 67% | ▲ 2 | 62¢ | 71¢ | 882 |
| Above 66000 | 59% | ▲ 2 | 56¢ | 61¢ | 791 |
| Above 68000 | 51% | ▲ 2 | 47¢ | 54¢ | 698 |
| Above 70000 | 39% | ▲ 1 | 34¢ | 43¢ | |
| Above 72000 | 28% | ▲ 1 | 24¢ | 33¢ | |
| Above 74000 | 17% | ▲ 1 | 13¢ | 21¢ | 11.00 |
Related markets
All stocks & companies › 27,615median
13,00037,000
Median 27,615Middle half 24,333 – 31,087
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%Rivian
- Workhorse17%▲ 2
- Beyond Meat9%
- Xerox6%
- Rivian3%
11 more
- Perplexity AI5%
- Lucid5%▼ 1
- JetBlue Airways4%
- SoundHound AI3%
- MicroStrategy3%
- Lovable3%
- C3.ai3%
- Carvana2%
- Anthropic2%
- OpenAI1%
- JC Penney<1%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
76%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA76%▼ 8
- Apple22%▲ 8
- Alphabet2%
- Microsoft<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.42Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.
- Reaches $1.5T93%
- Reaches $1.75T82%
- Reaches $2T69%
- Reaches $2.5T47%
- Falls to $800B3%
- Falls to $700B3%
- Falls to $600B2%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 30, 2026even chance by
- October 15, 2026<1%
- October 31, 2026<1%
- November 15, 20266%▲ 2
- November 30, 202653%▼ 2
2 more
- December 15, 202665%▲ 3
- December 31, 202670%▼ 3
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
26%$2.0–$2.25T
- $2.0–$2.25T26%▼ 3
- $1.75–$2.0T23%▲ 7
- $2.25–$2.5T21%▼ 2
- $2.5–$2.75T9%▼ 1
6 more
- $1.5–$1.75T9%▲ 2
- $1.25–$1.5T3%
- $3.0T+3%
- No IPO by December 31, 20272%▼ 1
- <$1.25T2%▼ 1
- $2.75–$3.0T2%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.