Fed decision in Sep 2027?
73%Fed maintains rate
- Fed maintains rate73%▼ 1
- Hike 25bps8%
- Cut 25bps8%
- Hike >25bps6%
1 more
- Cut >25bps5%
Install
Fed decision in Oct 2027?
The odds
64%Fed maintains rate
- Fed maintains rate64%
- Hike >25bps15%▲ 8
- Cut 25bps10%▲ 1
- Hike 25bps6%▼ 1
- Cut >25bps4%
How the odds have moved
Fed maintains rate: 64% on Oct 13, 64% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed maintains rate | 64% | 56¢ | 67¢ | 3.2K | |
| Hike >25bps | 15% | ▲ 8 | 15¢ | 19¢ | 12.0K |
| Cut 25bps | 10% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 12¢ | 61.4K |
| Hike 25bps | 6% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 9¢ | 11.5K |
| Cut >25bps | 4% | 4¢ | 5¢ | 52.1K |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›Fed decision in Dec 2027?
73%Fed maintains rate
- Fed maintains rate73%
- Cut >25bps7%
- Cut 25bps7%
- Hike 25bps7%
1 more
- Hike >25bps5%
Fed decision in Jul 2027?
78%Fed maintains rate
- Fed maintains rate78%▼ 2
- Hike 25bps10%▲ 3
- Cut 25bps7%▲ 1
- Hike >25bps6%▼ 2
1 more
- Cut >25bps1%
Fed decision in Jan 2028?
59%Fed maintains rate
- Fed maintains rate59%▼ 4
- Hike >25bps11%▼ 1
- Cut 25bps11%
- Hike 25bps11%
1 more
- Cut >25bps9%▲ 5
Fed decision in Jun 2027?
57%Fed maintains rate
- Fed maintains rate57%▲ 3
- Hike 25bps28%
- Cut >25bps6%
- Cut 25bps6%
1 more
- Hike >25bps3%▼ 1
Fed decision in Apr 2027?
66%Fed maintains rate
- Fed maintains rate66%▼ 6
- Hike 25bps19%▲ 3
- Cut 25bps10%
- Cut >25bps4%
1 more
- Hike >25bps1%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.