Alaska Air passenger load factor in fiscal 2026
81.33%median
80.5%86%
Median 81.33%Middle half 81.09% – 81.66%
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Alaska Air passenger load factor in Q1 2027
The odds
79.42%median
75.5%81.5%
Median 79.42%Middle half 77.62% – 80.55%
How the odds have moved
Median: 79.27% on Oct 27, 79.42% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 76% | 91% | 88¢ | 360 | ||
| Above 76.5% | 91% | 18¢ | 200 | ||
| Above 80% | 42% | 102 | |||
| Above 80.5% | 27% | 81.00 | |||
| Above 81% | 5% | 1¢ | 9¢ | 179 |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Largest Company end of December 2026?
71%Apple
- Apple71%▲ 11
- NVIDIA27%▼ 8
- Microsoft1%
- Alphabet<1%▼ 1
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
80%SpaceX
- SpaceX80%▲ 13
- xAI21%
- Anthropic14%▼ 15
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 24, 2026even chance by
- November 15, 20262%
- November 16, 20264%▲ 1
- November 17, 20266%▼ 5
- November 18, 20268%▼ 11
8 more
- November 19, 202621%▼ 16
- November 20, 202637%▼ 20
- November 23, 202647%▼ 18
- November 24, 202652%▼ 17
- November 25, 202659%▼ 14
- November 30, 202665%▼ 19
- December 15, 202673%▼ 15
- December 31, 202673%▼ 15
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
24%$1.5–$1.75T
- $1.5–$1.75T24%
- $1.75–$2.0T21%▼ 2
- $1.25–$1.5T16%
- $2.0–$2.25T16%▼ 1
6 more
- <$1.25T13%▲ 4
- $2.25–$2.5T5%
- No IPO by December 31, 20274%▲ 3
- $2.5–$2.75T2%
- $2.75–$3.0T1%
- $3.0T+<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$1.99Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $1.99T.
- Reaches $1.5T84%
- Reaches $1.75T63%
- Reaches $2T50%
- Reaches $2.25T26%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B2%
- Falls to $600B1%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use. How to use Finance