Alaska Air passenger load factor in Q1 2027
79.42%median
75.5%81.5%
Median 79.42%Middle half 77.62% – 80.55%
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Alaska Air passenger load factor in fiscal 2026
The odds
81.33%median
80.5%86%
Median 81.33%Middle half 81.09% – 81.66%
How the odds have moved
Median: 82.45% on Sep 30, 81.33% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 81% | 85% | ▲ 3 | 83¢ | 87¢ | 2.4K |
| Above 81.5% | 32% | ▼ 12 | 29¢ | 34¢ | 6.4K |
| Above 82% | 11% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 12¢ | 10.1K |
| Above 82.5% | 7% | ▼ 2 | 5¢ | 9¢ | 11.5K |
| Above 83% | 7% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 8¢ | 3.5K |
| Above 83.5% | 7% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 7¢ | 6.8K |
| Above 84% | 6% | 4¢ | 7¢ | 3.6K | |
| Above 84.5% | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | 2.1K | |
| Above 85% | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 1.5K | |
| Above 85.5% | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 159 |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Largest Company end of December 2026?
70%Apple
- Apple70%▲ 10
- NVIDIA28%▼ 10
- Microsoft1%
- Alphabet<1%▼ 1
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
83%SpaceX
- SpaceX83%▲ 16
- xAI20%
- Anthropic14%▼ 15
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 24, 2026even chance by
- November 15, 20262%
- November 16, 20266%▲ 3
- November 17, 202626%▲ 16
- November 18, 202626%▲ 7
8 more
- November 19, 202628%▼ 7
- November 20, 202642%▼ 15
- November 23, 202648%▼ 17
- November 24, 202651%▼ 18
- November 25, 202659%▼ 14
- November 30, 202664%▼ 20
- December 15, 202673%▼ 16
- December 31, 202677%▼ 12
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
24%$1.5–$1.75T
- $1.5–$1.75T24%
- $1.75–$2.0T21%▼ 2
- $1.25–$1.5T16%
- $2.0–$2.25T16%▼ 1
6 more
- <$1.25T13%▲ 3
- $2.25–$2.5T5%▼ 1
- No IPO by December 31, 20273%▲ 3
- $2.5–$2.75T2%
- $2.75–$3.0T1%
- $3.0T+<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2T.
- Reaches $1.5T82%
- Reaches $1.75T63%
- Reaches $2T50%
- Reaches $2.25T26%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B2%
- Falls to $600B1%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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