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Fredericksburg, VA Weather
Current conditions
Observed at Stafford, Stafford Regional Airport · 1 hr ago
Forecast
10-day-
Saturday
Patchy fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 64. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
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Saturday Night
Patchy fog after 9pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 36. North wind around 2 mph.
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Sunday
Patchy frost and patchy fog before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 67.
National Weather Service forecast updated 1 day ago.
Hourly
Hourly forecast- Now44°
- 10 AM52°
- 11 AM57°
- 12 PM60°
- 1 PM63°
- 2 PM64°
- 3 PM64°
- 4 PM64°
- 5 PM63°
- 6 PM58°
- 7 PM52°
- 8 PM46°
- 9 PM44°
- 10 PM43°
- 11 PM42°
- Sun12 AM41°
- 1 AM40°
- 2 AM39°
- 3 AM39°
- 4 AM39°
- 5 AM38°
- 6 AM37°
- 7 AM36°
- 8 AM38°
10-day forecast
Details- TonightOct 22Clear45°
- FriOct 23Sunny38°65°
- TodayOct 24Patchy Fog then Sunny36°64°
- SunOct 25Patchy Frost then Sunny37°67°
- MonOct 26Sunny46°70°
- TueOct 27Sunny46°68°
- WedOct 28Mostly Sunny47°65°
- ThuOct 29Mostly Sunny68°
- FriOct 30Partly cloudy51°75°
- SatOct 31Cloudy52°65°
Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.
Radar
Full mapWeather news near Fredericksburg
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Air quality
Air quality is satisfactory, and air pollution poses little or no risk.
Forecast
- SatGood (50)
- SunModerate (55)
- MonModerate (56)
Southern Maryland, MD reporting area · 1 hr ago. Data from AirNow (EPA and its state, local and tribal partners); preliminary and subject to change.
Sun & moon
Almanac
MonthlyQuantico Mcas, records since 1945. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).
Nearby
- Centreville 60 km
- Waldorf 58 km
- Dale City 39 km
- Manassas 50 km
- Lake Ridge 45 km
- Burke 57 km
- Saint Charles 56 km
- Linton Hall 52 km
- St. Charles 58 km
- Springfield 59 km
- Fort Washington 59 km
- West Springfield 56 km
Forecasters' discussion
From the National Weather Service office in LWX, issued 7 hrs ago
What Has Changed
A Coastal Flood Advisory has been issued for Annapolis. Otherwise, there have been no significant changes to the forecast thinking for the next seven days.
Key Messages
- 1) Frost or freezing temperatures are possible in many areas tonight and Sunday night.
- 2) Dry weather continues through next week along with generally seasonable temperatures.
Discussion
KEY MESSAGE 1...Frost or freezing temperatures are possible in many areas tonight and Sunday night.
With a large area of Canadian high pressure building overhead through the weekend, conditions will likely become favorable for radiational cooling (light to calm winds, mainly clear skies and a cool background airmass). At the moment, it is unclear which night will be the coldest, although tonight (Saturday night) will have a slight advantage given the position of the high overhead.
The growing season for 2026 has ended along and west of the Blue Ridge and Catoctin Mountains, but continues east of there. Any headlines for frost/freeze conditions will only be issued where the growing season remains active.
For tonight, more widespread cold (possible frost/freeze) conditions are possible as high pressure settles more directly overhead. This would bring the frost/freeze threat for most areas outside the major urban centers (downtown DC/Baltimore) and immediate shore of the Chesapeake Bay. If the colder guidance verifies, then the growing season may end for more areas west of I-95 come early Sunday morning. The high will remain overhead through Monday morning, and the low-level airmass doesn't change appreciably, so frost/freeze conditions will be possible again Sunday night.
Did not make appreciable changes to the previous min temperature forecasts, which are near or below the coldest guidance which performs best in radiational cooling (MOS, NBM 10 percentile and Canadian Regional).
KEY MESSAGE 2...Dry weather continues through next week along with generally seasonable temperatures.
Aviation
VFR conditions are expected to prevail through early next week. There are some hints that a slight uptick in low-level moisture could lead to some patchy fog during the early morning hours through the weekend, though confidence in timing and extent of sub-VFR is low at this time. The NAM and related guidance is by far the most aggressive with this outcome, but is an outlier.
E to SE flow is expected today, with light to calm winds again tonight. Wind direction may be a bit variable, ranging from SE to NE as high pressure passes directly overhead Sunday.
P6SM SKC as high pressure dominates early next week. A dry cold front will cross the area late Monday night with winds shifting to N/NW Tuesday.
Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Search index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.