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Commerce, TX Weather
Current conditions
Forecast for this hour (no station report in the last two hours)
Forecast
10-day-
Today
Sunny. High near 78, with temperatures falling to around 76 in the afternoon. East wind around 5 mph.
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Tonight
Mostly clear. Low around 50, with temperatures rising to around 52 overnight. East wind 0 to 5 mph.
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Wednesday
Sunny. High near 80, with temperatures falling to around 78 in the afternoon. East northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
National Weather Service forecast updated 11 hrs ago.
Hourly
Hourly forecast- Now76°
- 6 PM74°
- 7 PM70°
- 8 PM64°
- 9 PM62°
- 10 PM61°
- 11 PM60°
- Wed12 AM58°
- 1 AM57°
- 2 AM55°
- 3 AM54°
- 4 AM52°
- 5 AM52°
- 6 AM51°
- 7 AM50°
- 8 AM51°
- 9 AM56°
- 10 AM64°
- 11 AM69°
- 12 PM73°
- 1 PM77°
- 2 PM78°
- 3 PM78°
- 4 PM80°
10-day forecast
Details- TodayOct 20Sunny50°78°
- WedOct 21Sunny52°80°
- ThuOct 22Sunny54°82°
- FriOct 23Sunny54°82°
- SatOct 24Mostly Sunny58°83°
- SunOct 25Mostly Sunny57°81°
- MonOct 26Mostly Sunny56°81°
- TueOct 27Partly cloudy0.10 in57°76°
- WedOct 28Cloudy60°76°
- ThuOct 29Sunny54°73°
Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.
Radar
Full mapWeather news near Commerce
More weather news-
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Sun & moon
Almanac
MonthlySulphur Springs, records since 1893. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).
Nearby
- Greenville 23 km
- Paris 56 km
- Sulphur Springs 30 km
- Royse City 50 km
- Bonham 45 km
- Fate 56 km
- Princeton 56 km
- Farmersville 44 km
- Lavon 55 km
Forecasters' discussion
From the National Weather Service office in FWD, issued 11 hrs ago
Key Messages
- Quiet weather will continue through this week, with steadily warming temperatures through the end of the week.
Short Term
(Today and tonight) Issued at 1257 AM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026
Tranquil weather is anticipated for much of this upcoming week, as upper-level ridging continues building across the Southern Plains. Expect temperatures to increase each day as subsidence persists, however east-southeast winds over midweek will keep the warming trend a bit more gradual. Afternoon highs today and tomorrow will be in the mid 70s to mid 80s, with overnight lows in the 50s.
There looks to be a minute shortwave that will round the apex of the ridge over Oklaoma-Nebraska late tonight into Wednesday, but will likely only produce some passing clouds in North Texas.
Long Term
(Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 1257 AM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026
Quiet and mild weather will persist into this upcoming weekend, as upper-level ridging remains planted across the Southern Plains. Expect highs to continue to peak in the mid-upper 70s to mid 80s each afternoon. Over the latter half of the week, a deepening upper- level trough will take up residence over the western CONUS. Minute shortwaves will eject out of the trough and become enveloped in the more progressive northern stream, but will remain displaced to our northwest, keeping things status quo. However, towards the weekend and into next week, the lagging southern stream trough is expected to finally shift further east, with ample moisture advection occurring in West Texas. Any rain chances during this time are expected to remain outside of North and Central Texas.
Because of the eastward trajectory of the upper shortwave trough, the resident ridge will become flattened and displaced towards the Gulf states by early next week. This may set the stage for returning rain chances and perhaps a frontal intrusion sometime next week, but it is too early for any specific details.
Aviation
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 535 AM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026
VFR and primarily E-ESE with speeds AOB 7 KT are expected at all TAF sites over the next 24-30 hours. However, there may be periods of calm or light/variable winds, particularly through mid morning today and again overnight through mid-morning (06Z-15Z) on Wednesday. With such light wind speeds, no operational impacts are expected at the airports.
Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Search index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.