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Commerce, OK Weather
Current conditions
Observed at Grove, Grove Municipal Airport · 1 hr ago
Forecast
10-day-
Today
A chance of rain showers before 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. South wind around 5 mph.
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Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southeast wind around 0 mph.
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Wednesday
A chance of rain showers after 7am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
National Weather Service forecast updated 3 hrs ago.
Hourly
Hourly forecast- Now59°
- 11 AM64°
- 12 PM66°
- 1 PM70°
- 2 PM71°
- 3 PM72°
- 4 PM72°
- 5 PM71°
- 6 PM69°
- 7 PM65°
- 8 PM61°
- 9 PM58°
- 10 PM57°
- 11 PM56°
- Wed12 AM55°
- 1 AM54°
- 2 AM53°
- 3 AM52°
- 4 AM51°
- 5 AM50°
- 6 AM50°
- 7 AM49°
- 8 AM49°
- 9 AM54°
10-day forecast
Details- TodayOct 20Chance Rain Showers49°72°
- WedOct 21Chance Rain Showers49°73°
- ThuOct 22Sunny52°76°
- FriOct 23Sunny54°76°
- SatOct 24Mostly Sunny56°77°
- SunOct 25Partly Sunny55°74°
- MonOct 26Partly Sunny52°72°
- TueOct 27Partly cloudy49°71°
- WedOct 28Cloudy52°67°
- ThuOct 29Cloudy50°64°
Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.
Radar
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Air quality
Acceptable. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.
Miami, OK reporting area · 1 hr ago. Data from AirNow (EPA and its state, local and tribal partners); preliminary and subject to change.
Sun & moon
Almanac
MonthlyColumbus, records since 1892. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).
Nearby
Forecasters' discussion
From the National Weather Service office in TSA, issued 4 hrs ago
Key Messages
Updated at 1052 PM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026
- We may see some sprinkles over the next couple of days across NE OK and NW AR as an upper wave moves across.
- A gradual warming trend is expected to continue over the next several days.
- A weather system may bring a low chance of showers and thunderstorms this weekend or early next week, but otherwise the forecast remains dry.
Short Term
(Through Wednesday) Issued at 1052 PM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026
An upper wave currently evident on WV imagery moving into NM will move into the central Plains over the next couple of days. Increasing lift from the system will bring increasing mid and high cloud, mainly across the north. CAMs show spotty showers or sprinkles spreading across NE OK and NW AR Tuesday and Wednesday as the system tops an amplifying ridge and then drops southeast. Model soundings are dry below 700mb, with the bulk of the moisture in the 500-700mb layer. Heavier showers may manage to get some hydrometeors to the surface, but chances for measurable rain look pretty slim. Will insert sprinkle mention into the grids and call it good.
High temps will continue to trend upward through the 70s to near 80 in the south by Wednesday.
Lacy
Long Term
(Wednesday Night through Monday) Issued at 1052 PM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026
An upper low is expected to evolve off the West Coast tomorrow and will make slow progress eastward into the CONUS through the end of the week. An amplified downstream ridge will prevail over the Plains during the latter half of the week. Dry weather and continued above average temps can be expected.
The models take the majority of the energy from this initial system north toward away from our region and toward the northern Plains late this week, with some energy hanging back over the Southwest. The forecast area will remain under the influence of ridging at the surface and aloft, so the onset of rain chances keeps getting pushed back. Bottom line, rain chances through this forecast remain low at best and will continue to be until the second system in the Southwest finally comes east.
Lacy
Aviation
(12Z TAFS) Issued at 612 AM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026
High confidence of VFR prevailing at all TAF sites through the period. Mid and high clouds around 15-20kft will move through during the period. Winds stay light out of the south or southeast.
Mejia
Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Search index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.