Waconia, MN Weather

Carver County9:18 PM CDT44.85°N, 93.79°WElevation 1,014 ft

Current conditions

Mostly Clear
66°
Mostly Clear
Feels like 66°
High 75° Saturday·Low 61° tonight
WindSSE 15 mph gusts 21 mph
Humidity52%
Dew point48°
Pressure30.09 inHg
Visibility10 mi
Cloud cover82%
UV index0 Low
Sunrise7:42 AM
Sunset6:19 PM

Observed at Minneapolis - Flying Cloud Airport · 38 min ago

Forecast

10-day
  • Tonight

    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. South southeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

  • Saturday

    Rain showers likely after 2pm. Partly sunny. High near 75, with temperatures falling to around 68 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  • Saturday Night

    A chance of rain showers before 10pm. Mostly cloudy. Low around 45, with temperatures rising to around 48 overnight. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

National Weather Service forecast updated 7 hrs ago.

  1. Now Mostly Cloudy 63°
  2. 10 PM Cloudy 63°
  3. 11 PM Cloudy 63°
  4. Sat12 AM Cloudy 63°
  5. 1 AM Mostly Cloudy 63°
  6. 2 AM Mostly Cloudy 63°
  7. 3 AM Mostly Cloudy 62°
  8. 4 AM Mostly Cloudy 62°
  9. 5 AM Partly Cloudy 62°
  10. 6 AM Partly Sunny 61°
  11. 7 AM Mostly Sunny 61°
  12. 8 AM Mostly Sunny 62°
  13. 9 AM Mostly Sunny 62°
  14. 10 AM Mostly Sunny 65°
  15. 11 AM Mostly Sunny 67°
  16. 12 PM Partly Sunny 69°
  17. 1 PM Partly Sunny 72°
  18. 2 PM Chance Rain Showers 73°27%
  19. 3 PM Chance Rain Showers 73°51%
  20. 4 PM Rain Showers Likely 72°55%
  21. 5 PM Rain Showers Likely 68°63%
  22. 6 PM Chance Rain Showers 64°53%
  23. 7 PM Chance Rain Showers 60°37%
  24. 8 PM Chance Rain Showers 57°29%

Daily forecast

Details
  1. TodayOct 23 Rain Showers Rain Showers81%61°75°
  2. SatOct 24 Partly Sunny then Rain Showers Likely Partly Sunny then Rain Showers Likely63%45°75°
  3. SunOct 25 Chance Rain Showers Chance Rain Showers46%40°53°
  4. MonOct 26 Rain Showers Likely Rain Showers Likely70%39°48°
  5. TueOct 27 Rain Showers Likely Rain Showers Likely64%44°55°
  6. WedOct 28 Chance Rain Showers Chance Rain Showers40%41°61°
  7. ThuOct 29 Mostly Sunny Mostly Sunny15%38°55°
  8. FriOct 30 Sunny Sunny31°44°
  9. SatOct 31 Sunny Sunny38°58°

Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.

Radar

Full map
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Weather news near Waconia

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Air quality

57
Moderate
Fine particles (PM2.5)

Acceptable. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

Forecast

  • FriModerate (53)
  • SatGood (44)
  • SunGood

Southern Twin Cities Metro, MN reporting area · 1 hr ago. Data from AirNow (EPA and its state, local and tribal partners); preliminary and subject to change.

Sun & moon

Sunrise 7:42 AM
Sunset 6:19 PM
Daylight 10 h 36 min (−2 min 56 s tomorrow)
Waxing Gibbous · 95% lit
Moonrise 4:50 PM Moonset 4:46 AM
Full moon Oct 26 New moon Nov 9

Almanac

Monthly
Normal high / low54° / 35°
Month to date0.79 in (normal 2.00 in)

Jordan 1ssw, records since 1949. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).

Nearby

Forecasters' discussion

From the National Weather Service office in MPX, issued 7 hrs ago

Key Messages

- One more very warm day Saturday, then temperatures retreat back to near normal.

- Multiple chances for rain from this afternoon through Wednesday.

Discussion

Issued at 147 PM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

A band of showers from western to south central MN continues to progress eastward this afternoon at about 20 kts. There have been a few isolated thunderstorms and brief heavy downpours embedded within the band, especially during the late morning and midday. Intensity will continue waning as the afternoon progresses and chances are low it will reach WI. South winds have been gusty today and temperatures have once again reached the 70s ahead of the band of rain where sun has been prevalent.

A cold front over Montana today will propagate east tonight and reach the Upper Midwest Saturday. A warm and somewhat moist airmass will keep lows quite mild tonight, likely remaining in the low 60s. Temperatures will warm quickly ahead of the front which is expected to be passing through western MN mid to late morning. Highs across southern/eastern MN and WI should reach the mid to possibly upper 70s before tumbling behind the front. Another band of showers will develop along the front throughout the day, then weaken and scatter by evening across southern MN and WI. A few showers may linger through Sunday.

The front will stall across the mid MS Valley Sunday, then lift back to the north Monday and Tuesday as an upper low over the desert Southwest finally ejects northeast across the Plains. This compact system will bring rain to the central Plains Sunday night and the Upper Midwest Monday into early Tuesday. QPF is pretty impressive along the track of the low from Nebraska to eastern SD and western MN where amounts may exceed 1-1.5 inches.

Another system may follow quickly on the heels of the early week system Tuesday night and Wednesday. There is still quite a bit of model spread after Tuesday, leading to continuing chances of showers and low confidence. Ridging will try to build back late week and temperatures may trend back above normal for Halloween weekend.

Aviation

Issued at 1227 PM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

A narrow band of showers will continue to move eastwards across Minnesota & into western Wisconsin this afternoon. Mainly VFR visibility is expected with the showers but periods of MVFR are likely at times across west-central Minnesota. Southeast winds gust to 25-30 kts this afternoon & remain gusty overnight. LLWS looks to be more of an issue tonight & overnight with sSE-S winds increasing to 50 kts at 2000 ft. Winds switch to southerly & then westerly through tomorrow morning with continued gusts around 20 kts.

KMSP...Expect at least an hour of light rain between 4-6 PM, but visibility should mostly remain VFR. South-southeast winds continue to gust up to 25 mph through early evening.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ SAT PM...VFR, chc -SHRA/MVFR. Wind W 10-15G25kts. SUN...VFR. Wind N 5-10kts. MON...VFR, chc -SHRA/MVFR. Wind NE 5-10kts.

Mpx Watches

MN...None. WI...None.

Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Search index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.