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Seneca, KS Weather
Current conditions
Observed at Marysville Municipal Airport · 1 hr ago
Forecast
10-day-
Wednesday
A chance of rain showers before 7am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. South wind around 5 mph.
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Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 51. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
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Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 76. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
National Weather Service forecast updated 1 day ago.
Hourly
Hourly forecast- Now75°
- 5 PM73°
- 6 PM72°
- 7 PM68°
- 8 PM62°
- 9 PM60°
- 10 PM59°
- 11 PM58°
- Thu12 AM56°
- 1 AM55°
- 2 AM54°
- 3 AM53°
- 4 AM53°
- 5 AM52°
- 6 AM51°
- 7 AM52°
- 8 AM55°
- 9 AM59°
- 10 AM63°
- 11 AM67°
- 12 PM71°
- 1 PM73°
- 2 PM75°
- 3 PM76°
10-day forecast
Details- TueOct 20Mostly Sunny then Chance Rain Showers19%52°72°
- TodayOct 21Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny11%51°75°
- ThuOct 22Sunny55°76°
- FriOct 23Mostly Sunny58°77°
- SatOct 24Partly Sunny26%54°77°
- SunOct 25Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny20%51°72°
- MonOct 26Chance Rain Showers25%46°68°
- TueOct 27Rain0.38 in47°49°
- WedOct 28Cloudy0.05 in46°56°
- ThuOct 29Sunny41°56°
Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.
Radar
Full mapWeather news near Seneca
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Sun & moon
Nearby
- Falls City 47 km
- Marysville 50 km
- Holton 50 km
- Hiawatha 45 km
- Sabetha 24 km
Forecasters' discussion
From the National Weather Service office in TOP, issued 4 hrs ago
Key Messages
- Dry with above-average temperatures through the rest of the week.
- The next chance of rain comes Sunday night into Monday, followed by cooler temperatures.
Discussion
Issued at 310 AM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026
A large closed low continues to spin off the CA coast with a ridge over the Southern Plains. A shortwave overhead rounding that ridge is responsible for widely scattered showers that remain across central and eastern KS early this morning. Once the upper wave passes to our east mid to late morning, that should end any lingering showers with subsidence taking over. That should also allow clouds to clear out with temperatures a little bit warmer than yesterday, reaching the mid to upper 70s. The upper ridge axis then moves overhead for Thursday and Friday, leading to slightly higher mid-level heights and increasing southerly winds, especially on Friday as lee sfc troughing deepens in response to the approaching upper trough to the west. While the spread in temperatures remains small, am thinking the 90th percentile is probably more accurate as models oftentimes are not warm enough in setups like these and we've already been seeing that trend the last few days, even if only by a few degrees. With that in mind, would think some places will probably see low 80s at some point between today and Saturday.
More of the guidance seems to be catching on to the slower trend with the upper trough and associated cold front. The lead shortwave on Friday looks to eject north/northeast of the area and phase with the northern stream troughing pattern in Canada, limiting its impact on our area. What remains of the southern stream looks to move across the Four Corners region Sunday and eventually through the Plains Monday, bringing the front through the area sometime Monday. There are still enough timing differences that result in large temperature spreads starting Sunday in north central KS if the front were to move faster and bring clouds/rain into the area that early. A slower solution would keep warmer/drier conditions area-wide through Sunday with better rain chances Monday, followed by cooler temperatures back towards average early next week. As of now, the higher PoPs (30-50%) are focused on Monday, which makes sense based on the recent trend.
Aviation
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026
VFR conditions expected. Will need to monitor the potential for fog overnight given light winds and temperatures approaching crossover thresholds. Guidance shows a signal for at least some cloud coverage, which could limit fog development. Have held off on inserting a fog mention for now.
Top Watches
None.
Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Search index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.