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Merced, CA 95344 Weather
Current conditions
Forecast for this hour (no station report in the last two hours)
Forecast
10-day-
Today
A chance of rain before 11am, then showers and thunderstorms likely between 11am and 5pm, then rain likely. Mostly cloudy. High near 68, with temperatures falling to around 65 in the afternoon. South southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
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Tonight
Rain likely before 5am. Mostly cloudy. Low around 54, with temperatures rising to around 56 overnight. South southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
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Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. West northwest wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
National Weather Service forecast updated 1 hr ago.
Hourly
Hourly forecast- Now61°64%
- 11 AM62°68%
- 12 PM65°68%
- 1 PM66°68%
- 2 PM66°68%
- 3 PM67°68%
- 4 PM66°68%
- 5 PM65°63%
- 6 PM66°63%
- 7 PM64°63%
- 8 PM63°63%
- 9 PM62°63%
- 10 PM61°63%
- 11 PM60°10%
- Fri12 AM60°10%
- 1 AM59°10%
- 2 AM58°10%
- 3 AM58°10%
- 4 AM56°10%
- 5 AM56°
- 6 AM56°
- 7 AM54°
- 8 AM56°
- 9 AM58°
Daily forecast
Details- TodayOct 22Showers And Thunderstorms Likely68%54°68°
- FriOct 23Mostly Sunny50°69°
- SatOct 24Sunny49°74°
- SunOct 25Sunny51°77°
- MonOct 26Sunny50°77°
- TueOct 27Mostly Sunny50°75°
- WedOct 28Mostly Sunny50°73°
- ThuOct 29Cloudy53°77°
- FriOct 30Sunny51°81°
Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.
Radar
Full mapWeather news near Merced
More weather news-
Rain is on the way to Merced area as 'unsettled weather arrives.’ What to expectAfter a warm weekend with temperatures climbing into the 80s, cooler fall weather is finally moving into the Merced area, bringing lower temperatures, cloudy skies and a chance of rain. "A pattern change is on the way…
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Big weather change ahead: goodbye 90's, hello... rain!KMPH Fox 26 Are you ready? Because our weather is about to change in a big way We've already said goodbye to the triple digits for the year, and it's now looking like Sunday will be the last of the 90's for 2026 Rain is…
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Severe weather, flood risk across Four Corners, CaliforniaThe Weather Channel Tornadoes, flooding, large hail possible in Four Corners, California Parts of the Four Corners and Southern California face an elevated risk of severe weather on Thursday, which includes the…
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Showery conditions, possible thunderstorms impact Northern California todayCloudy skies are expected across Northern California today, bringing periods of rain and a chance of thunderstorms later in the day. Highs will reach the mid-60s with winds from the south between 10 and 15 mph. Rain and…
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New storm moves into Southern California: What to expectA new storm is moving into Southern California Wednesday. Here is what to expect: Moderate rain is in the forecast from Wednesday late morning to Thursday afternoon, according to the National Weather Service. The…
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Ventura County sees steady rain as storm moves into Southern CaliforniaVENTURA, Calif. (KABC) -- Ventura County was among the first areas in Southern California to see rainfall Wednesday, with rain beginning around 8:30 a.m. The rain was visible along the northbound 101 Freeway in…
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Widespread rain expected to drench parts of Southern California as storm moves into regionOctober 21, 2026 / 6:42 AM PDT / CBS LA A low-pressure system from the Pacific Northwest is moving south and it is expected to bring widespread rain to Southern California on Wednesday afternoon. The rain will continue…
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Rare severe storm threat targets Southern California while Arizona faces potential egg-sized hail, tornadoesFLAGSTAFF, Ariz. — Severe thunderstorms blasted parts of Arizona early Wednesday ahead of a rare severe weather threat that will intensify through the day and into the evening. Parts of the state, including Flagstaff…
- UPDATE: Wind advisory in place for Southern California until Thursday evening
On Thursday at 5:53 a.m. the NWS San Diego CA issued an updated wind advisory valid between 6 a.m. and 6 p.m. The advisory is for Riverside County Mountains, San Diego County Mountains, San Diego County Deserts and San…
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Shower chances and cooler temperatures in Northern CaliforniaAction News Now Cloudy conditions and a chance of rain showers are in the forecast for Northern California today. Widespread precipitation will continue through Thursday, with temperatures cooler than normal this week…
Air quality
Acceptable. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.
Forecast
- ThuGood (50)
Merced, CA reporting area · 2 hrs ago. Data from AirNow (EPA and its state, local and tribal partners); preliminary and subject to change.
Sun & moon
Almanac
MonthlyMerced Area, records since 1899. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).
Nearby
- Modesto 59 km
- Turlock 38 km
- Madera 54 km
- Ceres 53 km
- Los Banos 43 km
- Atwater 12 km
- Chowchilla 28 km
- Livingston 23 km
- Newman 48 km
- Delhi 30 km
- Winton 15 km
- Madera Acres 49 km
Forecasters' discussion
From the National Weather Service office in HNX, issued 22 hrs ago
Discussion
Time for your favorite part of the day, reading the Area Forecast Discussion (we got some action AND humor)! Some isolated thunderstorms have developed in Fresno County and along the Sierra Nevada Foothills (boom boom crash). Precipitation is currently spreading over the forecast area this morning and continuing into Thursday. Isolated cells have been producing strong updrafts and energy to possibly produce pea sized hail. The bulk of the precipitation will occur Wednesday afternoon until Thursday. Many locations can expect a total of one quarter to one half inch in the San Joaquin Valley, while there is near 60 percent chance of exceeding a half inch. That is a good amount of H2O from the sky for this region! The Flood Watch remains in effect for much of Kern County and the higher terrain along the west side of the San Joaquin Valley up to southwestern Fresno County near Coalinga. Higher amounts of precipitation are likely to occur over the Sierra Nevada from the foothills to about 8,000 feet. While some nuisance flooding is also a possibility in these areas, we anticipate less runoff except near burn scars. We are still looking at a good chance for at least a few inches of snow above 8,000 feet in the Sierra Nevada. We will continue the Winter Weather Advisory for these areas from Wednesday morning to Thursday morning. As cells continue to develop and move Southerly, isolated thunderstorms are possible in Kern County and into the mountains. As such, keep on the lookout for Special Weather Statements and advisories that are put out!
For Friday through next Tuesday, we are looking at continued cooler temperatures and mainly dry conditions. Although temperatures will warm up by several degrees for the weekend until Monday, we are projecting highs mainly in the 70s for the warmest locations. There is a slight chance of precipitation for the middle of next week, but with much uncertainty at this time.
Aviation
Isolated thunderstorms have been occurring since 17Z this morning near Fresno and along the Sierra Foothills. With mountain obscurations and visibilities creeping into the 5-6SM range, MVFR conditions in place with showers and isolated thunderstorms through at least today. Winds mainly up to 10 kts at the TAF sites, mainly from the east. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail for the next 24 hours.
Air Quality Issues
None.
Certainty
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high. The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.
Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information and/or to provide feedback.
Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Search index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.