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Surprise, AZ 85374 Weather
Current conditions
Forecast for this hour (no station report in the last two hours)
Forecast
10-day-
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2am and 4am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 4am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
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Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. High near 88, with temperatures falling to around 84 in the afternoon. East northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
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Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a low around 71. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
National Weather Service forecast updated 7 hrs ago.
Hourly
Hourly forecast- Now79°40%
- Wed12 AM77°43%
- 1 AM76°46%
- 2 AM75°41%
- 3 AM75°27%
- 4 AM74°24%
- 5 AM74°38%
- 6 AM73°29%
- 7 AM73°35%
- 8 AM75°31%
- 9 AM78°27%
- 10 AM80°25%
- 11 AM82°26%
- 12 PM84°26%
- 1 PM85°33%
- 2 PM86°39%
- 3 PM87°37%
- 4 PM85°39%
- 5 PM84°43%
- 6 PM82°26%
- 7 PM80°48%
- 8 PM79°45%
- 9 PM78°54%
- 10 PM77°46%
10-day forecast
Details- TonightOct 20Chance Showers And Thunderstorms46%73°
- WedOct 21Chance Showers And Thunderstorms74%71°88°
- ThuOct 22Showers And Thunderstorms Likely then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms72%64°82°
- FriOct 23Sunny62°78°
- SatOct 24Sunny61°78°
- SunOct 25Sunny64°81°
- MonOct 26Mostly Sunny65°84°
- TueOct 27Sunny83°
- WedOct 28Cloudy66°85°
- ThuOct 29Partly cloudy0.03 in66°87°
Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.
Radar
Full mapWeather news near Surprise
More weather news-
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Arizona weather forecast: Phoenix hits the 90s before rain and severe storm chances arrivePhoenix will hit 91 degrees before rain chances and severe storms return to Arizona mid-week. PHOENIX - Arizona is in for another week of changing weather. While high pressure whirls to the southeast, a trough and…
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Rain is on the way to Arizona this weekFOX 10 Phoenix FOX 10's Erica Horvatin has the details on a storm that's headed our way this week. She has where it's expected to hit and when.
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Will Phoenix get rain this week? What the forecast showsHighs reached 84 degrees Sunday, but the Valley warms back near 89 Monday and into the low 90s Tuesday. Isolated showers are possible in higher terrain near the Valley Monday. A stronger system moves in from the west…
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Why storm chances are increasing across Arizona this weekAfter a warm start to the week, Arizona is in for a noticeable weather change. Valley highs climb back into the low 90s Tuesday before rain and thunderstorm chances increase Wednesday and Thursday, bringing temperatures…
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Arizona rain chances rise as new storm system approachesFOX 10 Phoenix Arizona will see cooler temperatures and scattered rain midweek as a new storm system moves across the state. FOX 10's Erica Horvatin has more on when we can expect moisture to arrive.
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Arizona thunderstorms possible this week: Here’s whenPHOENIX (AZFamily) — Highs have reached 84 so far on Sunday, but changes are on the way this week. Lows dip into the low 70s by early Monday morning, ahead of a high around 89 Monday with isolated showers in the higher…
Air quality
Air quality is satisfactory, and air pollution poses little or no risk.
Forecast
- TueGood (47)
- WedGood (39)
- ThuGood (38)
Phoenix, AZ reporting area · 1 hr ago. Data from AirNow (EPA and its state, local and tribal partners); preliminary and subject to change.
Sun & moon
Almanac
MonthlyPhoenix Luke Afb, records since 1951. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).
Nearby
Forecasters' discussion
From the National Weather Service office in PSR, issued 6 hrs ago
Update
00Z Aviation Discussion
Key Messages
- A Pacific low pressure system will bring multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms, mainly across central and eastern Arizona, Wednesday and Thursday.
- A Flood Watch is in effect across much of south-central and eastern Arizona from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday evening for periods of moderate to heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding.
- Quieter weather is expected beginning Friday and lasting through the upcoming weekend.
Aviation
Updated at 2345Z.
South Central Arizona including KPHX, KIWA, KSDL, and KDVT: The main aviation concern will be potential for multiple rounds of TS during the TAF period. The first window would be around 06-10Z this evening/tonight, but confidence regarding if this activity comes to fruition is low at this time. To reflect this uncertainty, PROB30s for each terminal have been maintained. There is better confidence in the occurrence of the second round, with current projected timing for operational impacts between 20-00Z Wednesday afternoon. With this higher confidence, TEMPO groups have been added for each site during this timeframe. Low CIGs around 5-6 kft, gusty and erratic winds, and reduced surface VIS will accompany any TSRA that move over the terminals.
Outside these windows of convection, conditions should be fairly quiet. Winds look to maintain an easterly component through Wednesday afternoon. SCT-BKN cloud decks aoa 7 kft will be common.
Southeast California/Southwest Arizona including KIPL and KBLH: No major aviation concerns are expected during the next 24 hours. Winds will be light through tonight with extended periods of VRB conditions. SE and S flow at KIPL and KBLH respectively will become established by late Wednesday morning ahead of breezy conditions at the latter terminal during the afternoon.
Fire Weather
Wind speeds today will generally remain light with limited afternoon gustiness before increasing towards the middle of the week ahead of an approaching weather system. Mainly dry conditions will prevail this afternoon before rain chances increase substantially Wednesday and Thursday with significant rainfall amounts, in excess of 1.00", likely across the higher terrain areas of the eastern districts. MinRHs today will range between 30-50% before increasing above 50-60% across the eastern districts Wednesday and Thursday along with good to excellent overnight recoveries. Temperatures will be in a near normal range tomorrow before falling into a below normal category by the end of the week and lasting through the weekend.
Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Search index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.