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Cave Creek, AZ 85331 Weather
Current conditions
Observed at Phoenix, Phoenix-Deer Valley Municipal Airport · 1 hr ago
Forecast
10-day-
This Afternoon
Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly cloudy. High near 83, with temperatures falling to around 77 in the afternoon. East southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
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Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could be severe. Cloudy. Low around 65, with temperatures rising to around 67 overnight. East northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
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Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 1pm and 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. High near 73, with temperatures falling to around 71 in the afternoon. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
National Weather Service forecast updated 3 hrs ago.
Hourly
Hourly forecast- Now77°71%
- 6 PM74°68%
- 7 PM72°66%
- 8 PM69°71%
- 9 PM69°91%
- 10 PM69°78%
- 11 PM68°76%
- Thu12 AM68°79%
- 1 AM68°69%
- 2 AM68°73%
- 3 AM68°83%
- 4 AM67°96%
- 5 AM67°76%
- 6 AM66°81%
- 7 AM65°78%
- 8 AM67°86%
- 9 AM69°93%
- 10 AM70°79%
- 11 AM71°71%
- 12 PM71°64%
- 1 PM71°48%
- 2 PM71°43%
- 3 PM71°39%
- 4 PM72°36%
Daily forecast
Details- TodayOct 21Showers And Thunderstorms96%65°83°
- ThuOct 22Showers And Thunderstorms93%60°73°
- FriOct 23Sunny57°70°
- SatOct 24Sunny57°69°
- SunOct 25Sunny58°73°
- MonOct 26Sunny59°76°
- TueOct 27Sunny59°77°
- WedOct 28Partly cloudy60°74°
- ThuOct 29Cloudy60°75°
Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.
Radar
Full mapWeather news near Cave Creek
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Air quality
Air quality is satisfactory, and air pollution poses little or no risk.
McDowell, AZ reporting area · 1 hr ago. Data from AirNow (EPA and its state, local and tribal partners); preliminary and subject to change.
Sun & moon
Almanac
MonthlyBartlett Dam, records since 1940. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).
Nearby
- Phoenix 50 km
- Mesa 53 km
- Glendale 45 km
- Scottsdale 42 km
- Peoria 44 km
- Tempe 52 km
- Tempe Junction 52 km
- Surprise 46 km
- Sun City 45 km
- El Mirage 47 km
- Sun City West 45 km
- Fountain Hills 36 km
Forecasters' discussion
From the National Weather Service office in PSR, issued 4 hrs ago
Key Messages
- A strong low pressure system will support multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms, some of which may be strong to severe through Thursday afternoon across much of central and eastern Arizona.
- Moderate to heavy rainfall with totals over one inch may result in areas of flash flooding across south-central Arizona with a focus on upslope, terrain areas.
- Drier air filtering into the region by the end of the week will lead to more benign weather conditions during the weekend and through at least early next week.
- Near normal temperatures will cool to below normal levels by the latter half of the week and continuing through early next week.
Aviation
Updated at 1756Z.
South Central Arizona including KPHX, KIWA, KSDL, and KDVT: Rounds of isolated to scattered strong thunderstorms with heavy rain leading to sub-VFR VIS, brief strong and erratic wind gusts, isolated large hail, and low CIGs will be possible today through at least Thursday morning. Confidence in timing out best chances RA/TS is moderate, as isolated RA/TS may develop at any time. Uncertainty remains in how much SHRA/TSRA may develop near the terminals this afternoon and have highlighted this potential with PROB30s. Storms that do develop may become severe. There may be a lull in activity this evening before SHRA/TSRA increases heading into the overnight hours and continuing through part of Thursday morning. A downtrend in activity is expected by Thursday evening. Lowest CIGs today are expected around 5-7K ft AGL and then may dip to 3-5K ft Thursday morning with showers and storms. Winds are expected to favor an E-SE component throughout much of the TAF period. However, depending on SHRA/TSRA development, wind directions may become erratic at times with an increase in winds from the S-SW possible.
Southeast California/Southwest Arizona including KIPL and KBLH: No major aviation weather concerns are anticipated through the next 24 hours. Winds will favor a southerly component at the terminals, with gust around 20-25 kts this afternoon at KBLH. KBLH will maintain winds out of the S through much of the period while directions will switch around to the W this evening at KBLH. Periods of variability are expected. FEW-SCT clouds, mostly aoa 6-7 kft, will be common through this evening
Fire Weather
A low pressure system will bring very active weather conditions across much of central and eastern AZ through Thursday as multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected. Significant rainfall activity is likely in some areas, particularly across the higher terrain areas of the eastern districts where rainfall amounts in excess of 1-2" are possible. MinRHs through Thursday will range between 30-40% across the western districts and between 40-70% across the eastern districts along with good to excellent overnight recoveries. Some gusty winds with peak gusts upwards of 25-30 mph are likely this afternoon and once again on Thursday across the western districts. Much quieter conditions are expected starting Friday along with a decrease in humidity values. Near normal temperatures today will cool into a below normal category starting Thursday and lasting through the weekend.
Psr Watches
AZ...Flood Watch through Thursday evening for AZZ545-547-552-556>558- 560>563.
Flood Watch through Thursday afternoon for AZZ534-537-538- 540>544-546-548>551-553>555.
CA...None.
Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Search index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.