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Cave Creek, AZ 85327 Weather
Current conditions
Forecast for this hour (no station report in the last two hours)
Forecast
10-day-
Today
Showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could be severe. Mostly cloudy. High near 74, with temperatures falling to around 71 in the afternoon. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
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Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 60. South southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
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Friday
Sunny. High near 72, with temperatures falling to around 70 in the afternoon. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
National Weather Service forecast updated 2 hrs ago.
Hourly
Hourly forecast- Now70°77%
- 11 AM71°85%
- 12 PM72°78%
- 1 PM72°64%
- 2 PM72°52%
- 3 PM73°50%
- 4 PM72°42%
- 5 PM71°27%
- 6 PM69°26%
- 7 PM66°25%
- 8 PM66°14%
- 9 PM65°
- 10 PM64°
- 11 PM64°
- Fri12 AM64°
- 1 AM64°
- 2 AM63°
- 3 AM62°
- 4 AM61°
- 5 AM61°
- 6 AM61°
- 7 AM60°
- 8 AM62°
- 9 AM66°
Daily forecast
Details- TodayOct 22Showers And Thunderstorms85%60°74°
- FriOct 23Sunny57°72°
- SatOct 24Sunny57°71°
- SunOct 25Sunny58°73°
- MonOct 26Sunny59°77°
- TueOct 27Sunny60°79°
- WedOct 28Mostly Sunny15%60°78°
- ThuOct 29Cloudy62°80°
- FriOct 30Mostly sunny64°80°
Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.
Radar
Full mapWeather news near Cave Creek
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Air quality
Air quality is satisfactory, and air pollution poses little or no risk.
McDowell, AZ reporting area · 1 hr ago. Data from AirNow (EPA and its state, local and tribal partners); preliminary and subject to change.
Sun & moon
Almanac
MonthlyBartlett Dam, records since 1940. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).
Nearby
Forecasters' discussion
From the National Weather Service office in PSR, issued 4 hrs ago
Update
Updated 12Z Aviation Discussion.
Key Messages
- A strong low pressure system will support additional thunderstorms, some of which may be strong to severe, through this afternoon and focused more north and east of the Phoenix area.
- Thunderstorms will also be capable of producing moderate to heavy rainfall which may result in areas of flash flooding across south-central Arizona with a focus over higher terrain areas.
- Drier air will quickly move in tonight into Friday leading to more benign weather conditions into the weekend and through at least early next week.
- Below normal temperatures are forecast through the weekend before warming back into the normal range early next week.
Aviation
Updated at 1301Z.
South Central Arizona including KPHX, KIWA, KSDL, and KDVT:
The main aviation concern through midday today will be the potential for another round of VCTS/TS, but confidence has waned. Model guidance continues to support activity developing this morning and persisting through 19-20Z before shifting off to the east, but initiation timing continues to push back. Should storms develop, strong winds, hail, and sub-VFR CIG/VIS will be the primary impacts. Pre-ceding any storm activity light easterly winds will prevail and will eventually trend toward a S-SW direction this afternoon. Any storms will drive periods of variable wind directions. Lowest cloud bases will mostly be around 4-6K ft AGL this morning through midday, but may briefly drop lower in showers and storms. Skies will eventually clear tonight.
Southeast California/Southwest Arizona including KIPL and KBLH: No major aviation weather concerns are anticipated through the forecast period. Winds will favor a southerly to southwesterly component at KBLH and westerly at KIPL. Gusts up to 25 kts will become common at both terminals early Thursday afternoon. FEW to SCT clouds, mostly aoa 7 kft, will prevail.
Fire Weather
Strong to severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall will remain possible over eastern districts through this afternoon before rapid drying spreads through the area this evening and tonight. The heaviest rainfall will be focused more across higher terrain areas north and east of Phoenix. MinRHs today will again be in a 30-60% range before dropping more into a 25-40% range for Friday and Saturday as cooler air settles into the region. Gusty west winds upwards of 25-30 mph will be possible across the western districts through this evening with winds becoming light starting tonight. Overall quiet weather conditions are forecast for this weekend into next week with fairly stable humidities and temperatures rebounding back into the normal range early next week.
Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Search index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.