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Ellsworth, WI 54011 Weather
Current conditions
Observed at Red Wing - Red Wing Regional Airport · 20 min ago
Forecast
10-day-
This Afternoon
Sunny, with a high near 71. West southwest wind around 0 mph.
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Tonight
Areas of fog after 1am. Mostly clear, with a low around 46. East wind around 0 mph.
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Thursday
Patchy fog before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 73. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
National Weather Service forecast updated 1 hr ago.
Hourly
Hourly forecast- Now71°
- 4 PM71°
- 5 PM70°
- 6 PM66°
- 7 PM61°
- 8 PM58°
- 9 PM56°
- 10 PM55°
- 11 PM54°
- Thu12 AM52°
- 1 AM51°
- 2 AM50°
- 3 AM49°
- 4 AM48°
- 5 AM47°
- 6 AM46°
- 7 AM46°
- 8 AM46°
- 9 AM49°
- 10 AM55°
- 11 AM60°
- 12 PM64°
- 1 PM69°
- 2 PM71°
10-day forecast
Details- TodayOct 21Sunny46°71°
- ThuOct 22Patchy Fog then Sunny53°73°
- FriOct 23Mostly Sunny58°73°
- SatOct 24Partly Sunny27%53°74°
- SunOct 25Chance Rain Showers35%43°59°
- MonOct 26Chance Rain Showers47%39°51°
- TueOct 27Chance Rain Showers31%41°51°
- WedOct 28Cloudy0.02 in46°64°
- ThuOct 29Cloudy37°49°
- FriOct 30Partly cloudy37°46°
Days after the National Weather Service's seven are MET Norway's outlook, a computer model with no forecaster's review.
Radar
Full mapWeather news near Ellsworth
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Air quality
Air quality is satisfactory, and air pollution poses little or no risk.
Forecast
- WedModerate
- ThuModerate
- FriModerate
Chippewa Valley and Eastern Twin Cities, WI reporting area · 1 hr ago. Data from AirNow (EPA and its state, local and tribal partners); preliminary and subject to change.
Sun & moon
Almanac
MonthlyEllsworth 1e, records since 1908. Normals 1991–2020. Data from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS).
Nearby
- Saint Paul 53 km
- Woodbury 43 km
- Eagan 54 km
- Apple Valley 58 km
- Maplewood 47 km
- Cottage Grove 38 km
- Inver Grove Heights 46 km
- Oakdale 46 km
- White Bear Lake 57 km
- Rosemount 50 km
- Farmington 53 km
- Hastings 29 km
Forecasters' discussion
From the National Weather Service office in MPX, issued 3 hrs ago
Key Messages
- Above normal temperatures and dry weather continue through at least Friday.
- Rain chances and normal temperatures return this weekend.
Discussion
Issued at 248 AM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026
TODAY...There is quite the range in regional temperatures this morning, with parts of western Minnesota still sitting in the low 50s while some spots in west-central Wisconsin are plummeting to the low 30s already. There is also seemingly random 10 degree differences over short distances all across the area. For example, KLVN in Lakeville is sitting at 45F at 2AM and KMSP is at a balmy 55F. Maybe that example is influenced by the urban heat island, but you can find more examples of that spread all over this morning. This is likely showing the battle between southerly winds advecting warm air northwards and clear skies facilitating efficient radiational cooling (strength varying based on location). All that to say, some folks will be waking up to chilly temps this morning. Winds will not increase too drastically today, though the persistent southerly flow and sunny skies will bump highs up a couple degrees from yesterday.
THURSDAY TO SATURDAY...Temperatures will run a good 15 to 20 degrees above normal for mid-October (meaning highs in the mid 70s and lows in the mid 50s). Both Thursday and Friday have a shot at exceeding 80 degrees for locations along the Buffalo Ridge. Southeasterly winds will increase for Friday and Saturday ahead of a developing low pressure system over southern Canada. A cold front is expected to swing through the region on Saturday, though not before it loses much of its umph. The southerly flow will help increase PWATs to a little over an inch (which is almost 3 times normal for mid October), so there will certainly be enough moisture to tap into. The overall lack of strong forcing though will likely limit precip amounts to a couple tenths at most as the rounds of showers move through this weekend.
SUNDAY TO TUESDAY...The pattern changes and our late summer-like weather comes to an end next week. The highs next week will be similar to what our lows are like this week. And lows drop into the 30s, with many areas across the north likely seeing sub- freezing temps again as we near the end of October. Rain chances linger to start the week, though it depends on how far south that front is able to drop.
Aviation
Issued at 1217 PM CDT Wed Oct 21 2026
A quiet TAF period overall with mainly VFR, with winds light and variable under 5kts turning towards 120-150 by the tail end of the period. Patches of BR are possible after 08z, lasting through around 15z, with the most favorable environment for EAU/RNH/STC, although we may end up needing more coverage as we get closer.
KMSP...There is low end BR potential, but visibility is not expected to drop significantly within the warmer urban core.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ FRI...VFR. Wind SE 10-15G25kts. SAT...VFR, chc -SHRA/MVFR. Wind S 10-15G30kts. SUN...VFR, chc -SHRA/MVFR late. Wind N 5kts.
Mpx Watches
MN...None. WI...None.
Forecasts, observations and alerts in the United States come from the National Weather Service (NOAA); radar from NOAA's Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor system; satellite imagery from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS) and NOAA's GOES satellites; the map from the U.S. Geological Survey's National Map; air quality from AirNow (EPA and its partners); hurricane information from the National Hurricane Center; climate normals and records from NOAA's Regional Climate Centers (ACIS). Forecasts outside the United States and the UV index: MET Norway (CC BY 4.0); observations outside the U.S.: airport reports via NOAA's Aviation Weather Center. Place names: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Data are copied on a schedule and may lag the sources; for warnings that affect your safety, follow your local National Weather Service office and emergency officials. Weather news is drawn from the 4Search index and reflects what the press published. Terms of use.