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Control of the Senate, 2026
Election day: November 3, 2026. The markets' leading names: Republicans Sweep.
Prediction markets
- Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsPolymarket
- Democrats Sweep62%
- R Senate, D House28%
- Republicans Sweep10%▲1
- D Senate, R House<1%
- Other<1%
-
- Democratic Party62%
- Republican Party39%
- Which party will win the Senate in 2026?Polymarket
- Democratic Party64%
- Republican Party37%
-
- ≤4739%
- 4817%
- 4914%▲1
- 5013%▲1
- 518%▼1
- 527%▲1
- + 3 more outcomes
-
- Yes1%
- Next Senate Majority Leader?Polymarket
- Chuck Schumer47%
- John Thune25%
- Brian Schatz9%
- Chris Van Hollen4%
- Tom Cotton4%
- Cory Booker2%
- + 2 more outcomes
-
- No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate31%
- Hormuz Agreement; R Senate5%▲1
-
- 241%
- 329%▲1
- 112%
- 49%▲2
- 54%
- Will Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?2%
- + 1 more outcome
-
- Yes51%▼2
-
- Yes96%▲1
-
- Yes71%▲1
-
- Oil ≥ $80; R Senate30%
- Oil < $80; R Senate6%▼1
- Senate control favorite on November 2?Polymarket
- Democratic Party98%▲1
- Republican Party2%
-
- Yes11%▲6
-
- Yes38%▼5
Prediction-market prices show what traders are paying for each outcome, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong. Not betting or investment advice.
In the news
No coverage of this race in the index in the last two weeks.
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