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Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?
The odds
- Stripe68%▲ 3
- American Express32%▼ 3
How the odds have moved
Stripe: 66% on Oct 13, 68% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stripe | 68% | ▲ 3 | 56¢ | 80¢ | $1.1K |
| American Express | 32% | ▼ 3 | 20¢ | 44¢ | $1.1K |
Related markets
All stocks & companies › $20.09Bmedian
$19.5B$21B
Median $20.09BMiddle half $19.82B – $20.49B
American Express cards-in-force in Q3 (cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026)
155.74Mmedian
154.00M159.50M
Median 155.74MMiddle half 155.43M – 156.06M
Largest Company end of December 2026?
79%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA79%▼ 7
- Apple18%▲ 3
- Alphabet2%
- Microsoft<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.42Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.
- Reaches $1.5T93%
- Reaches $1.75T82%
- Reaches $2T69%
- Reaches $2.5T47%
- Falls to $800B3%
- Falls to $700B3%
- Falls to $600B2%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 28, 2026even chance by
- October 15, 2026<1%
- October 31, 2026<1%
- November 15, 20266%▲ 2
- November 30, 202658%▲ 4
2 more
- December 15, 202666%▲ 4
- December 31, 202670%▼ 3
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
22%December 31, 2029
- December 31, 202710%
- December 31, 202819%
- December 31, 202922%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.