Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

Polymarket Closes Dec 31, 2029 · $1.7M traded · prices read 6 min ago

The odds

22%December 31, 2029
  • December 31, 202710%
  • December 31, 202819%
  • December 31, 202922%

How the odds have moved

December 31, 2027: 10% on Oct 13, 10% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
December 31, 2027 10% 9¢ 10¢ $1.5M
December 31, 2028 19% 18¢ 19¢ $170.4K
December 31, 2029 22% 21¢ 22¢ $84.0K

Related markets

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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.42Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.

  • Reaches $1.5T93%
  • Reaches $1.75T82%
  • Reaches $2T69%
  • Reaches $2.5T47%
  • Falls to $800B3%
  • Falls to $700B3%
  • Falls to $600B2%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 28, 2026even chance by
  • October 15, 2026<1%
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20266%▲ 2
  • November 30, 202658%▲ 4
2 more
  • December 15, 202666%▲ 4
  • December 31, 202670%▼ 3

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

26%$2.0–$2.25T
  • $2.0–$2.25T26%▼ 3
  • $1.75–$2.0T24%▲ 6
  • $2.25–$2.5T20%▼ 3
  • $2.5–$2.75T9%▼ 1
6 more
  • $1.5–$1.75T9%▲ 3
  • $1.25–$1.5T3%▼ 1
  • $3.0T+3%
  • No IPO by December 31, 20272%▼ 1
  • <$1.25T2%▼ 1
  • $2.75–$3.0T2%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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