Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above __?

Polymarket Closes Oct 23 · $1.9K traded · prices read 26 min ago

The odds

$20.09Bmedian
$19.5B$21B
Median $20.09BMiddle half $19.82B – $20.49B

How the odds have moved

Median: $20.13B on Oct 13, $20.09B now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
$19.75B 82% 80¢ 83¢ $514
$20B 59% 57¢ 61¢ $445
$20.25B 35% 34¢ 36¢ $281
$20.5B 25% 21¢ 27¢ $40.00
$20.75B 25% 24¢ 26¢ $648

Related markets

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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.42Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.

  • Reaches $1.5T93%
  • Reaches $1.75T82%
  • Reaches $2T69%
  • Reaches $2.5T47%
  • Falls to $800B3%
  • Falls to $700B3%
  • Falls to $600B2%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 30, 2026even chance by
  • October 15, 2026<1%
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20266%▲ 2
  • November 30, 202653%▼ 2
2 more
  • December 15, 202665%▲ 3
  • December 31, 202670%▼ 3

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

26%$2.0–$2.25T
  • $2.0–$2.25T26%▼ 3
  • $1.75–$2.0T23%▲ 7
  • $2.25–$2.5T20%▼ 3
  • $2.5–$2.75T9%▼ 1
6 more
  • $1.5–$1.75T9%▲ 2
  • $1.25–$1.5T4%▲ 1
  • $3.0T+3%
  • No IPO by December 31, 20272%▼ 1
  • <$1.25T2%▼ 1
  • $2.75–$3.0T2%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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