US recession by end of 2026?
8%chance▲ 1
Install
Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?
The odds
1,584median
1,2001,650
Median 1,584Middle half 1,491 – 1,620
How the odds have moved
Median: 1,584 on Oct 13, 1,584 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1250.00 | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $609 | |
| 1250.00–1299.99 | 5% | 1¢ | 10¢ | $1.0K | |
| 1300.00–1349.99 | 5% | 0¢ | 10¢ | $895 | |
| 1350.00–1399.99 | 5% | 1¢ | 10¢ | $980 | |
| 1400.00–1449.99 | 5% | 1¢ | 10¢ | $1.3K | |
| 1450.00–1499.99 | 4% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 8¢ | $1.6K |
| 1500.00–1549.99 | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $1.9K | |
| 1550.00–1599.99 | 27% | 20¢ | 40¢ | $852 | |
| 1600.00+ | 41% | ▼ 1 | 36¢ | 55¢ | $2.8K |
Related markets
All growth & recession ›South Dakota corn yield in 2026
152.1median
120185
Median 152.1Middle half 147.1 – 157.2
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
3.24%median
-0.5%4.5%
Median 3.24%Middle half 2.66% – 3.94%
Recession in 2027?
20%chance▼ 1
GDP growth in 2026
2.48%median
0%3%
Median 2.48%Middle half 2.23% – 2.74%
US real GDP growth in Q1 2027?
2.08%median
-0.5%4.5%
Median 2.08%Middle half 0.89% – 3.12%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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