Bitcoin above ___ on November 4?

Polymarket Closes Wed 12:00 PM ET · $26.6K traded · prices read 4 min ago

The odds

$68,000$92,000
Median $77,727Middle half $75,226 – $80,414Above today's price 53%

How the odds have moved

Median: $79,814 on Oct 29, $77,727 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
70,000 97% ▼ 2 97¢ 97¢ $4.4K
72,000 92% ▼ 5 92¢ 93¢ $8.9K
74,000 85% ▼ 10 83¢ 86¢ $3.6K
76,000 69% ▼ 18 68¢ 70¢ $134
78,000 47% ▼ 26 46¢ 48¢ $833
80,000 28% ▼ 25 27¢ 29¢ $341
82,000 14% ▼ 18 12¢ 15¢ $3.2K
84,000 6% ▼ 9 4¢ 7¢ $364
86,000 2% ▼ 4 2¢ 3¢ $369
88,000 1% ▼ 2 1¢ 2¢ $2.3K
90,000 1% 1¢ 1¢ $2.1K

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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