US recession by end of 2026?
8%chance▲ 1
Install
What will the median home value in Chicago Metro be on December 31?
The odds
$319,414median
$298,000$331,000
Median $319,414Middle half $311,290 – $326,181
How the odds have moved
Median: $319,660 on Oct 13, $319,414 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$303K | 8% | ▼ 4 | 8¢ | 10¢ | $2.0K |
| $303K - $308K | 13% | 13¢ | 15¢ | $4.3K | |
| $308K - $313K | 6% | 5¢ | 7¢ | $651 | |
| $313K - $318K | 19% | ▼ 4 | 20¢ | 21¢ | $1.7K |
| $318K - $323K | 14% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 15¢ | $1.0K |
| $323K - $327K | 19% | ▲ 1 | 19¢ | 22¢ | $852 |
| $327K+ | 21% | ▲ 3 | 22¢ | 23¢ | $4.2K |
Related markets
All growth & recession ›South Dakota corn yield in 2026
152.1median
120185
Median 152.1Middle half 147.2 – 157.2
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
3.25%median
-0.5%4.5%
Median 3.25%Middle half 2.67% – 3.94%
Recession in 2027?
20%chance▲ 1
GDP growth in 2026
2.48%median
0%3%
Median 2.48%Middle half 2.23% – 2.74%
US real GDP growth in Q1 2027?
2.08%median
-0.5%4.5%
Median 2.08%Middle half 0.89% – 3.12%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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