US recession by end of 2026?
8%chance▲ 1
Install
What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on December 31?
The odds
$505,191median
$499,000$523,000
Median $505,191Middle half $501,277 – $519,526
How the odds have moved
Median: $504,501 on Oct 13, $505,191 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$503K | 44% | ▼ 3 | 47¢ | 48¢ | $4.1K |
| $503K - $507K | 11% | ▼ 1 | 11¢ | 13¢ | $2.1K |
| $507K - $511K | 5% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 9¢ | $1.2K |
| $511K - $515K | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $2.3K | |
| $515K - $519K | 9% | ▲ 3 | 5¢ | 15¢ | $2.2K |
| $519K - $521K | 14% | ▼ 5 | 10¢ | 20¢ | $3.6K |
| $521K+ | 15% | ▲ 4 | 11¢ | 21¢ | $2.0K |
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All growth & recession ›South Dakota corn yield in 2026
152.1median
120185
Median 152.1Middle half 147.2 – 157.2
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
3.25%median
-0.5%4.5%
Median 3.25%Middle half 2.67% – 3.94%
Recession in 2027?
20%chance▲ 1
GDP growth in 2026
2.48%median
0%3%
Median 2.48%Middle half 2.23% – 2.74%
US real GDP growth in Q1 2027?
2.08%median
-0.5%4.5%
Median 2.08%Middle half 0.89% – 3.12%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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