US recession by end of 2026?
8%chance▲ 1
Install
What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?
The odds
$407,635median
$387,000$455,000
Median $407,635Middle half $393,015 – $423,673
How the odds have moved
Median: $400,050 on Oct 13, $407,635 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$397K | 42% | ▲ 11 | 40¢ | 42¢ | $3.0K |
| $397K - $407K | 7% | ▼ 10 | 6¢ | 8¢ | $1.2K |
| $407K - $417K | 19% | ▼ 5 | 17¢ | 20¢ | $3.4K |
| $417K - $427K | 11% | ▼ 1 | 10¢ | 12¢ | $1.1K |
| $427K - $437K | 18% | ▲ 2 | 16¢ | 20¢ | $3.4K |
| $437K - $446K | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $861 | |
| $446K+ | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $2.0K |
Related markets
All growth & recession ›South Dakota corn yield in 2026
152.1median
120185
Median 152.1Middle half 147.2 – 157.2
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
3.25%median
-0.5%4.5%
Median 3.25%Middle half 2.67% – 3.94%
Recession in 2027?
20%chance▲ 1
GDP growth in 2026
2.48%median
0%3%
Median 2.48%Middle half 2.23% – 2.74%
US real GDP growth in Q1 2027?
2.08%median
-0.5%4.5%
Median 2.08%Middle half 0.89% – 3.12%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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