US recession by end of 2026?
8%chance▲ 1
Install
What will the median home value in New York City be on December 31?
The odds
$482,764median
$432,000$523,000
Median $482,764Middle half $462,575 – $502,968
How the odds have moved
Median: $482,798 on Oct 13, $482,764 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$445K | 3% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 6¢ | $477 |
| $445K - $458K | 18% | ▼ 1 | 17¢ | 22¢ | $1.2K |
| $458K - $471K | 12% | ▲ 2 | 1¢ | 25¢ | $1.4K |
| $471K - $484K | 19% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 25¢ | $2.1K |
| $484K - $497K | 16% | ▲ 3 | 16¢ | 18¢ | $903 |
| $497K - $510K | 17% | ▲ 3 | 8¢ | 29¢ | $891 |
| $510K+ | 16% | ▼ 2 | 17¢ | 18¢ | $3.1K |
Related markets
All growth & recession ›South Dakota corn yield in 2026
152.1median
120185
Median 152.1Middle half 147.2 – 157.2
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
3.25%median
-0.5%4.5%
Median 3.25%Middle half 2.67% – 3.94%
Recession in 2027?
20%chance▲ 1
GDP growth in 2026
2.48%median
0%3%
Median 2.48%Middle half 2.23% – 2.74%
US real GDP growth in Q1 2027?
2.08%median
-0.5%4.5%
Median 2.08%Middle half 0.89% – 3.12%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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