US recession by end of 2026?
8%chance▲ 1
Install
What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on December 31?
The odds
$1.13Mmedian
$1.1M$1.18M
Median $1.13MMiddle half $1.12M – $1.15M
How the odds have moved
Median: $1.13M on Oct 13, $1.13M now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$1.115M | 24% | ▼ 8 | 15¢ | 29¢ | $4.4K |
| $1.115M - $1.126M | 21% | ▼ 1 | 18¢ | 20¢ | $2.2K |
| $1.126M - $1.137M | 14% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | 18¢ | $2.5K |
| $1.137M - $1.148M | 19% | 17¢ | 18¢ | $1.2K | |
| $1.148M - $1.159M | 14% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 17¢ | $2.4K |
| $1.159M - $1.168M | 6% | ▼ 7 | 0¢ | 10¢ | $2.9K |
| $1.168M+ | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $1.3K |
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20%chance▲ 1
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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