5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?

Kalshi Closes Mon 3:30 PM ET · 1.3K contracts · prices read 29 min ago

The odds

4.89%median
5Y Yield now 4.899 0.00%
4.73%5.05%
Median 4.89%Middle half 4.84% – 4.91%Above today's price 37%

How the odds have moved

Median: 4.88% on Oct 17, 4.89% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
4.76% or above 98% 97¢ 99¢ 120
4.78% or above 98% 97¢ 98¢ 100
4.8% or above 97% 96¢ 97¢
4.82% or above 93% 92¢ 93¢ 84.00
4.84% or above 82% 81¢ 82¢ 92.00
4.86% or above 73% 72¢ 73¢
4.9% or above 48% 43¢ 53¢ 5.00
4.92% or above 23% 22¢ 23¢
4.94% or above 13% 12¢ 13¢
4.96% or above 7% 6¢ 7¢
4.98% or above 3% 1¢ 4¢
5% or above 2% 1¢ 2¢ 200
5.02% or above 2% 1¢ 2¢ 100
5.04% or above 2% 1¢ 2¢ 600

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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