How high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

Kalshi Closes Oct 30 · 27.8K contracts · prices read 16 min ago

The odds

5.13%median
5Y Yield now 5.019 −0.04%
5.05%5.36%
Median 5.13%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
5.07% or above 51% 65¢ 2.6K
5.08% or above 51% 8¢ 62¢ 4.2K
5.09% or above 51% 17¢ 58¢ 1.6K
5.1% or above 51% 53¢ 2.1K
5.11% or above 51% 57¢ 3.6K
5.12% or above 51% 55¢ 2.5K
5.13% or above 51% 53¢ 513
5.14% or above 51% 52¢ 519
5.15% or above 38% 44¢ 1.9K
5.16% or above 38% 49¢ 300
5.17% or above 38% 48¢ 137
5.18% or above 38% 45¢ 300
5.2% or above 38% 41¢ 580
5.21% or above 38% 38¢ 578
5.22% or above 38% 36¢ 450
5.23% or above 38% 36¢ 301
5.24% or above 38% 34¢ 300
5.25% or above 38% 2¢ 34¢ 20.00
5.3% or above 31% 25¢ 322
5.34% or above 26% 22¢ 1.0K
5.35% or above 17% 1¢ 16¢ 836
5.36% or above 1% 20¢ 3.1K

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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